Mid-North Whai vs Southern Hoiho prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 56%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 155 Margin MNW by 1 Win MNW 52% Actual 126 · SOU won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Mid-North Whai vs Southern Hoiho
Last 6 and 7 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Mid-North Whai 3, Southern Hoiho 1.
- Average total 162.0 points per meeting
- Overtime 0 of 4 meetings went to overtime
- Last meeting SOU by 14 Oct 24, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 24, 2026 Tauihi Women Southern Hoiho 79–65 Tauranga Whai 144 pts
- Nov 28, 2025 Tauihi Women Mid-North Whai 93–84 Southern Hoiho 177 pts
- Nov 7, 2025 Tauihi Women Southern Hoiho 81–83 Mid-North Whai 164 pts
- Oct 3, 2025 Tauihi Women Mid-North Whai 89–74 Southern Hoiho 163 pts
Last five games
- Sep 25: Mid-North Whai 81, Northern Kahu 60. Won. Odds: Mid-North Whai 1.31, Northern Kahu 3.10.
- Dec 13, 2025: Mainland Pouakai 66, Mid-North Whai 93. Won. No odds on record.
- Dec 5, 2025: Tokomanawa Queens 76, Mid-North Whai 82. Won. No odds on record.
- Nov 28, 2025: Mid-North Whai 93, Southern Hoiho 84. Won. No odds on record.
- Nov 22, 2025: Tokomanawa Queens 88, Mid-North Whai 82. Lost. No odds on record.
- Sep 26: Mainland Pouakai 87, Southern Hoiho 80. Lost. Odds: Mainland Pouakai 1.62, Southern Hoiho 2.10.
- Dec 6, 2025: Mainland Pouakai 99, Southern Hoiho 92. Lost. No odds on record.
- Nov 28, 2025: Mid-North Whai 93, Southern Hoiho 84. Lost. No odds on record.
- Nov 20, 2025: Southern Hoiho 99, Mainland Pouakai 94. Won. No odds on record.
- Nov 15, 2025: Southern Hoiho 75, Tokomanawa Queens 68. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Mid-North Whai coming into this game.
- 3-game losing streak for Southern Hoiho coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Mid-North Whai dropped from 1.32 to 1.20 since they were first published.
- 4-1 away for Southern Hoiho this season.
- Net rating difference of 10.4 — Mid-North Whai +0.8 per 100 possessions, Southern Hoiho +11.2.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| MNW moneyline | 1.32 | moved down 1.20 |
| SOU moneyline | 3.00 | moved up 3.90 |
| Total points · regulation | 159.5 | moved down 158.5 |
| MNW spread · regulation | −10.5 | moved up −9.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Tauihi Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 638 | 583 | +55 | |
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 631 | 573 | +58 | |
| 3 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 530 | 538 | −8 | |
| 4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 442 | 492 | −50 | |
| 5 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 477 | 532 | −55 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Mid-North Whai host Southern Hoiho in the Tauihi Women on Friday, October 2, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.