Mestre vs Libertas Livorno prediction
Mestre
9
11
12
17
Libertas Livorno
19
22
26
21
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 74%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Mestre4987Libertas Livorno8872Mestre4987Libertas Livorno8872Total 159 Margin MES by 15 Win MES 86% Actual 137 · LIB won
Mestre
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Libertas Livorno
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Mestre vs Libertas Livorno
Mestre
Libertas Livorno
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Mestre 1, Libertas Livorno 1.
- Average total 163.0 points per meeting
- Over 154.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting LIB by 8 Apr 18, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 18, 2026 Serie A2 Mestre 82–90 Libertas Livorno 172 pts
- Dec 19, 2025 Serie A2 Libertas Livorno 75–79 Mestre 154 pts
Last five games
Mestre
1-4 - Sep 27: Basket Torino 57, Mestre 79. Won. Odds: Basket Torino 1.31, Mestre 3.15.
- Apr 26: JuVi Cremona 83, Mestre 82. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 18: Mestre 82, Libertas Livorno 90. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 12: Verona 87, Mestre 68. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 8: Mestre 83, Avellino Basket 85. Lost. No odds on record.
Libertas Livorno
4-1 - Sep 27: Libertas Livorno 63, Pistoia 62. Won. Odds: Libertas Livorno 1.22, Pistoia 3.90.
- May 3: Rimini 95, Libertas Livorno 90. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 29: Libertas Livorno 102, Urania Milano 84. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 26: Libertas Livorno 84, Pesaro 75. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 18: Mestre 82, Libertas Livorno 90. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 1-4 in the last five for Mestre.
- 4-1 in the last five for Libertas Livorno.
- 16th vs 1st in the Serie A2 standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| MES moneyline | 2.20 | moved down 2.05 |
| LIB moneyline | 1.60 | moved up 1.70 |
| Total points | 154.5 | 154.5 |
| MES spread | +2.5 | +2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Serie A2 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libertas Livorno |
6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 490 | 402 | +88 |
| 2 |  Avellino Basket |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 486 | 441 | +45 |
| 3 |  Pesaro |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 499 | 459 | +40 |
| 4 |  Rimini |
7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 578 | 497 | +81 |
| 5 |  Basket Torino |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 375 | 367 | +8 |
| 6 |  Fortitudo Bologna |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 488 | 464 | +24 |
| 7 |  Sebastiani Rieti |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 452 | 459 | −7 |
| 8 |  Brindisi |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 536 | 513 | +23 |
| 9 |  Pistoia |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 469 | 419 | +50 |
| 10 |  Forli |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 500 | 477 | +23 |
| 11 |  Sassari |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 437 | 456 | −19 |
| 12 |  Cividale |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 495 | 521 | −26 |
| 13 |  Caserta |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 404 | 406 | −2 |
| 14 |  Ruvo Di Puglia |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 475 | 506 | −31 |
| 15 |  Vigevano |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 463 | 512 | −49 |
| 16 | Mestre |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 511 | 534 | −23 |
| 17 |  Cento |
7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 515 | 585 | −70 |
| 18 |  Montecatini |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 432 | 505 | −73 |
| 19 |  Urania Milano |
7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 530 | 572 | −42 |
| 20 |  JuVi Cremona |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 449 | 489 | −40 |
- Lega A
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in: Final
- Play-in: Semi-finals
- Play Out
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Mestre host Libertas Livorno in the Serie A2 on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.