Mersin SK vs Darussafaka prediction
Mersin SK
24
26
24
21
Darussafaka
21
19
22
20
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Mersin SK9585Darussafaka8271Mersin SK9585Darussafaka8271Total 156 Margin MER by 14 Win MER 86% Actual 177 · MER won
Mersin SK
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Darussafaka
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Mersin SK vs Darussafaka
Mersin SK
Darussafaka
Last 7 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
Mersin SK
5-0 - Oct 11: Fenerbahce 2 77, Mersin SK 85. Won. Odds: Fenerbahce 2 4.15, Mersin SK 1.18.
- Oct 8: Mersin SK 92, Gaziantep 70. Won. Odds: Mersin SK 1.44, Gaziantep 2.55.
- Oct 4: iLab Basketbol 78, Mersin SK 81. Won. Odds: iLab Basketbol 2.52, Mersin SK 1.45.
- Sep 26: Mersin SK 87, Konya BBSK 82. Won. Odds: Mersin SK 1.21, Konya BBSK 3.85.
- Sep 19: MKE Ankaragucu 70, Mersin SK 100. Won. No odds on record.
Darussafaka
2-3 - Oct 11: Darussafaka 47, Harem Spor 79. Lost. Odds: Darussafaka 4.10, Harem Spor 1.18.
- Oct 7: CO Basket 81, Darussafaka 73. Lost. Odds: CO Basket 1.95, Darussafaka 1.72.
- Oct 4: Darussafaka 75, Final Spor 83. Lost. Odds: Darussafaka 2.20, Final Spor 1.57.
- Sep 26: Kecioren Baglum 83, Darussafaka 91. Won. Odds: Kecioren Baglum 1.26, Darussafaka 3.40.
- Sep 20: Darussafaka 67, Balikesir 65. Won. Odds: Darussafaka 2.10, Balikesir 1.62.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-game winning streak for Mersin SK coming into this game.
- 3-game losing streak for Darussafaka coming into this game.
- Over/under moved up from 155.5 to 157.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 27.6 — Mersin SK +18.1 per 100 possessions, Darussafaka −9.5.
- 2nd vs 10th in the TBL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| MER moneyline | 1.04 | moved down 1.02 |
| DAR moneyline | 7.25 | moved up 7.40 |
| Total points | 155.5 | moved up 157.5 |
| MER spread | −15.5 | moved down −18.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
TBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kipas Istiklal |
9 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 749 | 670 | +79 |
| 2 | Mersin SK |
8 | 8 | 0 | 16 | 725 | 597 | +128 |
| 3 |  Yalova Harem Spor |
9 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 724 | 605 | +119 |
| 4 |  Goztepe |
8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 687 | 618 | +69 |
| 5 |  Final Spor |
9 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 721 | 714 | +7 |
| 6 |  Gaziantep |
8 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 629 | 613 | +16 |
| 7 |  CO Basket |
9 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 670 | 736 | −66 |
| 8 |  Buyukcekmece |
8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 643 | 631 | +12 |
| 9 |  OGM Ormanspor |
8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 674 | 664 | +10 |
| 10 | Darussafaka |
9 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 684 | 751 | −67 |
| 11 |  iLab Basketbol |
8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 680 | 690 | −10 |
| 12 |  Ankara Kolejliler |
9 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 682 | 730 | −48 |
| 13 |  Fenerbahce 2 |
8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 583 | 630 | −47 |
| 14 |  Balikesir |
9 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 659 | 705 | −46 |
| 15 |  MKE Ankaragucu |
8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 635 | 726 | −91 |
| 16 |  Konya BBSK |
8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 648 | 671 | −23 |
| 17 |  Kecioren Baglum |
9 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 745 | 787 | −42 |
- Super Lig
- Playoffs
- Play-in
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Mersin SK host Darussafaka in the TBL on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.