Meralco Bolts vs Blackwater Bossing prediction
Meralco Bolts
32
36
29
23
Blackwater Bossing
36
22
28
29
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 60%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Meralco Bolts120102Blackwater Bossing115100Meralco Bolts120102Blackwater Bossing115100Total 202 Margin MER by 2 Win MER 55% Actual 235 · MER won
Meralco Bolts vs Blackwater Bossing
Meralco Bolts
Blackwater Bossing
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Meralco Bolts 1, Blackwater Bossing 0.
- Average total 230.0 points per meeting
- Over 201.5 1 of 1 against this game’s total
- Last meeting MER by 2 Jul 21, 2026
Meetings
- Jul 21, 2026 Governors Cup Meralco Bolts 116–114 Blackwater Bossing 230 pts
Last five games
Meralco Bolts
1-4 - Aug 14: Meralco Bolts 97, Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 88. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 7: Magnolia Hotshots 105, Meralco Bolts 88. Lost. No odds on record.
- Aug 2: Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 85, Meralco Bolts 83. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jul 31: Meralco Bolts 75, Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 84. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jul 24: Magnolia Hotshots 112, Meralco Bolts 98. Lost. No odds on record.
Blackwater Bossing
1-4 - Oct 9: Blackwater Bossing 101, Magnolia Hotshots 107. Lost. Odds: Blackwater Bossing 3.40, Magnolia Hotshots 1.27.
- Aug 5: Blackwater Bossing 106, Phoenix Fuelmasters 100. Won. No odds on record.
- Jul 28: Phoenix Fuelmasters 102, Blackwater Bossing 93. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jul 24: Blackwater Bossing 85, Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 115. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jul 21: Meralco Bolts 116, Blackwater Bossing 114. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Meralco Bolts dropped from 1.60 to 1.21 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 198.5 to 201.5 since it was first published.
- 1-4 in the last five for Meralco Bolts.
- 1-4 in the last five for Blackwater Bossing.
- 5th vs 6th in the Governors Cup standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| MER moneyline | 1.60 | moved down 1.21 |
| BLA moneyline | 2.18 | moved up 4.07 |
| Total points | 198.5 | moved up 201.5 |
| MER spread | −3.5 | moved down −9.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Governors Cup standings
Regular Season · Group B
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Magnolia Hotshots |
10 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 1010 | 942 | +68 |
| 2 |  Rain or Shine Elasto Painters |
10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 1092 | 1092 | 0 |
| 3 |  Barangay Ginebra San Miguel |
10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 966 | 944 | +22 |
| 4 |  Phoenix Fuelmasters |
10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 975 | 1020 | −45 |
| 5 | Meralco Bolts |
10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 997 | 1020 | −23 |
| 6 | Blackwater Bossing |
10 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 1053 | 1075 | −22 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Meralco Bolts host Blackwater Bossing in the Governors Cup on Tuesday, October 13, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.