Melilla vs Ponferrada prediction
Melilla
26
26
18
12
Ponferrada
15
21
10
23
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 56%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Melilla8277Ponferrada6981Melilla8277Ponferrada6981Total 158 Margin PON by 4 Win PON 59% Actual 151 · MEL won
Melilla vs Ponferrada
Melilla
Ponferrada
Last five games
Melilla
1-4 - Oct 3: CBC Valladolid 59, Melilla 70. Won. Odds: CBC Valladolid 2.05, Melilla 1.67.
- May 8: Hestia Menorca 102, Melilla 72. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 3: Melilla 84, Ourense 93. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 26: Melilla 81, Tizona Burgos 96. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 22: Estudiantes 86, Melilla 73. Lost. No odds on record.
Ponferrada
2-3 - Oct 3: Ponferrada 94, Spanish Basketball Academy 86. Won. Odds: Ponferrada 2.10, Spanish Basketball Academy 1.60.
- May 3: Albacete 80, Ponferrada 75. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 26: Ponferrada 73, Albacete 74. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 18: Ponferrada 83, Gijon 54. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 11: Moron 87, Ponferrada 75. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 1-4 in the last five for Melilla.
- 1st vs 5th in the Segunda FEB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| MEL moneyline | 1.10 | 1.10 |
| PON moneyline | 5.40 | moved up 5.50 |
| Total points | 154.5 | 154.5 |
| MEL spread | −13.5 | moved up −11.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Segunda FEB standings
Regular Season · Group A
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melilla |
5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 421 | 359 | +62 |
| 2 |  Caceres |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 424 | 378 | +46 |
| 3 | CBC Valladolid | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 428 | 378 | +50 |
| 4 |  Toledo |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 426 | 410 | +16 |
| 5 | Ponferrada |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 408 | 396 | +12 |
| 6 |  Moron |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 397 | 393 | +4 |
| 7 |  Leonesa |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 345 | 329 | +16 |
| 8 |  Jaen Paraiso |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 391 | 405 | −14 |
| 9 |  Algeciras |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 398 | 414 | −16 |
| 10 |  Tres Cantos |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 359 | 403 | −44 |
| 11 |  CB Getafe |
5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 376 | 388 | −12 |
| 12 |  Spanish Basketball Academy |
5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 383 | 396 | −13 |
| 13 |  Estudiantes B |
5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 361 | 401 | −40 |
| 14 |  Badajoz |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 295 | 362 | −67 |
- Winners Playoffs
- Promotion - Playoffs
- Relegation - Playoffs
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Melilla host Ponferrada in the Segunda FEB on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.