Melbourne United vs Cairns Taipans prediction
Melbourne United
14
32
35
14
Cairns Taipans
18
29
25
35
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 81%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Melbourne United9588Cairns Taipans10785Melbourne United9588Cairns Taipans10785Total 173 Margin MEL by 3 Win MEL 60% Actual 202 · CAI won
Melbourne United
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Cairns Taipans
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Melbourne United vs Cairns Taipans
Melbourne United
Cairns Taipans
Last 10 and 11 games with full stats · all competitions
Melbourne United at home, last 4 games · Cairns Taipans away, last 7
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Melbourne United 4, Cairns Taipans 1.
- Average total 177.0 points per meeting
- Over 181.5 2 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting MEL by 16 Oct 31, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 31, 2026 NBL Cairns Taipans 97–113 Melbourne United 210 pts
- Feb 12, 2026 NBL Cairns Taipans 85–89 Melbourne United 174 pts
- Jan 7, 2026 NBL Melbourne United 92–93 Cairns Taipans 185 pts
- Oct 24, 2025 NBL Cairns Taipans 67–94 Melbourne United 161 pts
- Oct 12, 2025 NBL Melbourne United 95–60 Cairns Taipans 155 pts
Last five games
Melbourne United
2-3 - Oct 1: Tasmania JackJumpers 84, Melbourne United 82. Lost. Odds: Tasmania JackJumpers 3.00, Melbourne United 1.36.
- Sep 24: South East Melbourne 61, Melbourne United 86. Won. Odds: South East Melbourne 2.10, Melbourne United 1.70.
- Sep 19: Melbourne United 95, Adelaide 97. Lost. Odds: Melbourne United 1.43, Adelaide 2.76.
- Mar 7: Perth 95, Melbourne United 77. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 5: Melbourne United 82, Tasmania JackJumpers 68. Won. No odds on record.
Cairns Taipans
1-4 - Sep 30: New Zealand Breakers 98, Cairns Taipans 75. Lost. Odds: New Zealand Breakers 1.51, Cairns Taipans 2.48.
- Sep 27: Adelaide 83, Cairns Taipans 69. Lost. Odds: Adelaide 1.27, Cairns Taipans 3.55.
- Sep 23: Cairns Taipans 93, Tasmania JackJumpers 87. Won. Odds: Cairns Taipans 1.76, Tasmania JackJumpers 2.04.
- Sep 20: Sydney 111, Cairns Taipans 90. Lost. Odds: Sydney 1.27, Cairns Taipans 3.60.
- Feb 19: New Zealand Breakers 115, Cairns Taipans 84. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Melbourne United dropped from 1.28 to 1.17 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 10.6 — Melbourne United +5.3 per 100 possessions, Cairns Taipans −5.3.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Melbourne United.
- 1-4 in the last five for Cairns Taipans.
- 177.0 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 181.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| MEL moneyline | 1.28 | moved down 1.17 |
| CAI moneyline | 3.35 | moved up 4.77 |
| Total points | 181.5 | 181.5 |
| MEL spread | −8.5 | moved down −10.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sydney |
10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 979 | 881 | +98 |
| 2 |  Tasmania JackJumpers |
10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 956 | 908 | +48 |
| 3 |  Perth |
9 | 5 | 4 | .556 | 839 | 870 | −31 |
| 4 | Cairns Taipans |
11 | 6 | 5 | .545 | 1014 | 1062 | −48 |
| 5 | Melbourne United |
10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 967 | 925 | +42 |
| 6 |  Brisbane Bullets |
10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 938 | 967 | −29 |
| 7 |  Adelaide |
11 | 5 | 6 | .455 | 1001 | 1031 | −30 |
| 8 |  South East Melbourne |
10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 969 | 943 | +26 |
| 9 |  New Zealand Breakers |
10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 922 | 906 | +16 |
| 10 |  Illawarra Hawks |
11 | 3 | 8 | .273 | 1057 | 1149 | −92 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Melbourne United host Cairns Taipans in the NBL on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.