Mechelen vs Okapi Aalst prediction
Mechelen
21
28
16
14
Okapi Aalst
23
19
26
26
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 79%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Mechelen7987Okapi Aalst9490Mechelen7987Okapi Aalst9490Total 177 Margin OKA by 3 Win OKA 58% Actual 173 · OKA won
Mechelen
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Okapi Aalst
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Mechelen vs Okapi Aalst
Mechelen
Okapi Aalst
Last 29 games each with full stats · all competitions
Mechelen at home, last 20 games · Okapi Aalst away, last 19
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Mechelen 1, Okapi Aalst 1.
- Average total 168.5 points per meeting
- Over 170.5 0 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting MEC by 20 Apr 4, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 4, 2026 BNXT League Mechelen 94–74 Okapi Aalst 168 pts
- Dec 6, 2025 BNXT League Okapi Aalst 93–76 Mechelen 169 pts
Last five games
Mechelen
3-2 - Oct 2: Limburg 100, Mechelen 109. Won. Odds: Limburg 1.14, Mechelen 4.75.
- May 9: Mechelen 97, Rotterdam 73. Won. No odds on record.
- May 6: Brussels Basketball 56, Mechelen 57. Won. No odds on record.
- May 2: Mechelen 80, Den Helder 87. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Donar Groningen 99, Mechelen 63. Lost. No odds on record.
Okapi Aalst
4-1 - Oct 3: Okapi Aalst 95, Oostende 87. Won. Odds: Okapi Aalst 2.46, Oostende 1.50.
- May 9: Okapi Aalst 118, LWD Basket 90. Won. No odds on record.
- May 6: Limburg 99, Okapi Aalst 85. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 2: Okapi Aalst 102, Rotterdam 92. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Leiden 85, Okapi Aalst 97. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Mechelen coming into this game.
- Over/under moved up from 168.5 to 170.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 16.5 — Mechelen −5.2 per 100 possessions, Okapi Aalst +11.3.
- 4-1 in the last five for Okapi Aalst.
- 12th vs 3rd in the BNXT League standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| MEC moneyline | 2.65 | moved down 2.52 |
| OKA moneyline | 1.44 | moved up 1.46 |
| Total points | 168.5 | moved up 170.5 |
| MEC spread | +4.5 | +4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
BNXT League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Antwerp Giants |
5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 535 | 410 | +125 |
| 2 |  Liege |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | — | — | 0 |
| 2 | Brussels Basketball | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 407 | 341 | +66 |
| 3 | Okapi Aalst |
5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 463 | 417 | +46 |
| 4 |  Oostende |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 385 | 365 | +20 |
| 5 |  Spirou Charleroi |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 399 | 328 | +71 |
| 6 |  Limburg |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 456 | 433 | +23 |
| 7 |  Den Bosch |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 399 | 402 | −3 |
| 8 |  Leuven Bears |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 340 | 345 | −5 |
| 9 |  Zwolle |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 352 | 374 | −22 |
| 10 |  Donar Groningen |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 415 | 441 | −26 |
| 11 |  Leiden |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 376 | 388 | −12 |
| 12 | Mechelen |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 445 | 476 | −31 |
| 13 | Rotterdam | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 381 | 404 | −23 |
| 14 |  Kortrijk |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 405 | 431 | −26 |
| 15 |  CB Liege |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 377 | 462 | −85 |
| 16 |  Belfius Mons |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 326 | 444 | −118 |
Pct percentage of games won. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Mechelen host Okapi Aalst in the BNXT League on Saturday, October 10, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.