Mazeikiai vs Plunges Olimpas prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 165 Margin PLU by 3 Win PLU 56% Actual 152 · PLU won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Mazeikiai vs Plunges Olimpas
Last 10 games each with full stats · all competitions
Mazeikiai at home, last 5 games · Plunges Olimpas away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Mazeikiai 2, Plunges Olimpas 0.
- Average total 165.0 points per meeting
- Over 167.5 0 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting MAZ by 7 Feb 3, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 3, 2026 NKL Plunges Olimpas 79–86 Mazeikiai 165 pts
- Nov 27, 2025 NKL Mazeikiai 90–75 Plunges Olimpas 165 pts
Last five games
- Oct 17: Mazeikiai 77, Neptunas 2 90. Lost. Odds: Mazeikiai 1.95, Neptunas 2 1.74.
- Oct 15: Kedainiai BC 92, Mazeikiai 85. Lost. Odds: Kedainiai BC 1.80, Mazeikiai 1.87.
- Oct 10: Mazeikiai 62, Jurbarkas 91. Lost. Odds: Mazeikiai 2.95, Jurbarkas 1.33.
- Oct 8: Telsiai 83, Mazeikiai 72. Lost. Odds: Telsiai 1.21, Mazeikiai 3.75.
- Oct 3: Mazeikiai 75, Rytas 2 72. Won. Odds: Mazeikiai 1.52, Rytas 2 2.40.
- Oct 17: Plunges Olimpas 89, Rytas 2 64. Won. Odds: Plunges Olimpas 1.25, Rytas 2 3.70.
- Oct 15: BC Olimpas Palanga 102, Plunges Olimpas 76. Lost. Odds: BC Olimpas Palanga 1.27, Plunges Olimpas 3.30.
- Oct 10: Omega-Tauras 82, Plunges Olimpas 93. Won. Odds: Omega-Tauras 1.35, Plunges Olimpas 2.94.
- Oct 8: Plunges Olimpas 98, Kretinga 85. Won. Odds: Plunges Olimpas 1.60, Kretinga 2.15.
- Oct 3: Telsiai 90, Plunges Olimpas 70. Lost. Odds: Telsiai 1.40, Plunges Olimpas 2.75.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Mazeikiai coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Plunges Olimpas dropped from 2.05 to 1.65 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 14.7 — Mazeikiai −12.7 per 100 possessions, Plunges Olimpas +2.0.
- 16th vs 7th in the NKL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| MAZ moneyline | 1.67 | moved up 2.00 |
| PLU moneyline | 2.05 | moved down 1.65 |
| Total points | 166.5 | moved up 167.5 |
| MAZ spread | −2.5 | moved up +1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 20 | 882 | 725 | +157 | |
| 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 793 | 667 | +126 | |
| 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 930 | 806 | +124 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 693 | 668 | +25 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 870 | 824 | +46 | |
| 6 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 667 | 619 | +48 | |
| 7 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 814 | 781 | +33 | |
| 8 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 752 | 627 | +125 | |
| 9 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 861 | 882 | −21 | |
| 10 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 658 | 648 | +10 | |
| 11 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 957 | 971 | −14 | |
| 12 | Kedainiai BC | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 768 | 838 | −70 |
| 13 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 733 | 762 | −29 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 737 | 817 | −80 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 797 | 881 | −84 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 765 | 865 | −100 | |
| 17 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 751 | 873 | −122 | |
| 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 696 | 870 | −174 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Mazeikiai host Plunges Olimpas in the NKL on Thursday, October 22, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.