Mazeikiai vs Neptunas 2 Prediction & Odds

NKL Saturday, October 17, 2026Sat, Oct 17 Start09:00ET Round 6

MazeikiaiHome · 2-8 · 16th · 1.95

7724241613

Neptunas 2Away · 6-3 · 4th · 1.74

9027252315

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Mazeikiai 24 24 16 13

Neptunas 2 27 25 23 15

FT Telsiu sporto arena · LithuaniaTelsiu sporto arena · Round 6

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

2 1.74 85%

Neptunas 2 to win edge +10.8%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 2 1.74 Neptunas 2 to win Confidence85% model 67.5% · market 56.7% edge +10.8%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 70%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 1.74 67.5% 56.7% +10.8% 85% Won

Total points U157.5 1.81 51.5% 50.4% +1.1% 53% Lost

Point spread NEP -2.5 1.82 61.0% 50.0% +11.0% 72% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Mazeikiai7775

Neptunas 29082

Total 157 actual 167

Winning margin NEP by 7 actual NEP by 13

Chance to win NEP 67% NEP won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Mazeikiai7775

Neptunas 29082

Total 157 Margin NEP by 7 Win NEP 67% Actual 167 · NEP won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 5+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Mazeikiai large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Neptunas 2

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Mazeikiai vs Neptunas 2

Mazeikiai Neptunas 2

Last 10 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Mazeikiai 1-4

Oct 15: Kedainiai BC 92, Mazeikiai 85. Lost. Odds: Kedainiai BC 1.80, Mazeikiai 1.87.
Oct 10: Mazeikiai 62, Jurbarkas 91. Lost. Odds: Mazeikiai 2.95, Jurbarkas 1.33.
Oct 8: Telsiai 83, Mazeikiai 72. Lost. Odds: Telsiai 1.21, Mazeikiai 3.75.
Oct 3: Mazeikiai 75, Rytas 2 72. Won. Odds: Mazeikiai 1.52, Rytas 2 2.40.
Oct 1: BC Olimpas Palanga 86, Mazeikiai 70. Lost. Odds: BC Olimpas Palanga 1.48, Mazeikiai 2.40.

Neptunas 2 2-3

Oct 15: Neptunas 2 72, Telsiai 85. Lost. Odds: Neptunas 2 2.35, Telsiai 1.50.
Oct 10: Neptunas 2 73, Silute 70. Won. Odds: Neptunas 2 1.57, Silute 2.20.
Oct 6: Vytis VDU 88, Neptunas 2 84. Lost. Odds: Vytis VDU 1.98, Neptunas 2 1.72.
Oct 3: Neptunas 2 72, Omega-Tauras 76. Lost. Odds: Neptunas 2 1.54, Omega-Tauras 2.35.
Oct 1: Kretinga 76, Neptunas 2 91. Won. Odds: Kretinga 2.10, Neptunas 2 1.62.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
MAZ moneyline	2.09	moved down 1.95
NEP moneyline	1.61	moved up 1.74
Total points	157.5	157.5
MAZ spread	+2.5	moved down −1.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

NKL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Telsiai	10	10	0	20	882	725	+157
2	Jurbarkas	9	8	1	17	793	667	+126
3	BC Olimpas Palanga	10	8	2	18	930	806	+124
4	Neptunas 2	9	6	3	15	693	668	+25
5	Omega-Tauras	10	6	4	16	870	824	+46
6	Silute	8	6	2	14	667	619	+48
7	Plunges Olimpas	10	6	4	16	814	781	+33
8	Suduva-Mantinga	8	6	2	14	752	627	+125
9	Alytaus Patriotai	10	5	5	15	861	882	−21
10	Vytis VDU	7	4	3	11	658	648	+10
11	Zalgiris Kaunas 2	10	4	6	14	957	971	−14
12	Kedainiai BC	10	4	6	14	768	838	−70
13	Vilkaviskis	9	4	5	13	733	762	−29
14	Ukmerges Stekas	9	3	6	12	737	817	−80
15	Kretinga	10	2	8	12	797	881	−84
16	Mazeikiai	10	2	8	12	765	865	−100
17	Rytas 2	10	0	10	10	751	873	−122
18	Kauno Atletas	9	0	9	9	696	870	−174

Winners stage
Losers stage

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Mazeikiai host Neptunas 2 in the NKL on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.