Mazeikiai vs Jurbarkas Prediction & Odds — Oct 10

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NKL Saturday, October 10, 2026Sat, Oct 10 Start09:05ET Round 4

MazeikiaiHome · 2-8 · 16th · 2.95

6213132115

JurbarkasAway · 8-1 · 2nd · 1.33

9127122428

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Mazeikiai 13 13 21 15

Jurbarkas 27 12 24 28

FT Telsiu sporto arena · LithuaniaTelsiu sporto arena · Round 4

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

2 1.33 70%

Jurbarkas to win edge −8.5%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 2 1.33 Jurbarkas to win Confidence70% model 60.1% · market 68.6% edge −8.5%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 69%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 1.33 60.1% 68.6% −8.5% 70% Won

Total points O163.5 1.83 58.8% 49.6% +9.2% 68% Lost

Point spread MAZ +7.5 1.80 59.3% 50.7% +8.6% 69% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Mazeikiai6282

Jurbarkas9186

Total 168 actual 153

Winning margin JUR by 4 actual JUR by 29

Chance to win JUR 60% JUR won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Mazeikiai6282

Jurbarkas9186

Total 168 Margin JUR by 4 Win JUR 60% Actual 153 · JUR won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 18+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Mazeikiai large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Jurbarkas

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Other

Shooting

Mazeikiai vs Jurbarkas

Mazeikiai Jurbarkas

Last 10 and 11 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Mazeikiai 1-4

Oct 8: Telsiai 83, Mazeikiai 72. Lost. Odds: Telsiai 1.21, Mazeikiai 3.75.
Oct 3: Mazeikiai 75, Rytas 2 72. Won. Odds: Mazeikiai 1.52, Rytas 2 2.40.
Oct 1: BC Olimpas Palanga 86, Mazeikiai 70. Lost. Odds: BC Olimpas Palanga 1.48, Mazeikiai 2.40.
Mar 23: Jurbarkas 85, Mazeikiai 72. Lost. No odds on record.
Mar 20: Mazeikiai 87, Jurbarkas 92. Lost. No odds on record.

Jurbarkas 3-2

Oct 8: Jurbarkas 88, BC Olimpas Palanga 78. Won. Odds: Jurbarkas 1.50, BC Olimpas Palanga 2.37.
Oct 6: Gargzdai 79, Jurbarkas 75. Lost. Odds: Gargzdai 1.06, Jurbarkas 6.55.
Oct 3: Kauno Atletas 78, Jurbarkas 102. Won. Odds: Kauno Atletas 7.00, Jurbarkas 1.08.
Oct 1: Jurbarkas 96, Alytaus Patriotai 68. Won. Odds: Jurbarkas 1.16, Alytaus Patriotai 4.40.
Apr 7: Jurbarkas 64, Suduva-Mantinga 106. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
MAZ moneyline	2.70	moved up 2.95
JUR moneyline	1.39	moved down 1.33
Total points	163.5	moved down 161.5
MAZ spread	+6.5	+6.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

NKL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Telsiai	10	10	0	20	882	725	+157
2	Jurbarkas	9	8	1	17	793	667	+126
3	BC Olimpas Palanga	10	8	2	18	930	806	+124
4	Neptunas 2	9	6	3	15	693	668	+25
5	Omega-Tauras	10	6	4	16	870	824	+46
6	Silute	8	6	2	14	667	619	+48
7	Plunges Olimpas	10	6	4	16	814	781	+33
8	Suduva-Mantinga	8	6	2	14	752	627	+125
9	Alytaus Patriotai	10	5	5	15	861	882	−21
10	Vytis VDU	7	4	3	11	658	648	+10
11	Zalgiris Kaunas 2	10	4	6	14	957	971	−14
12	Kedainiai BC	10	4	6	14	768	838	−70
13	Vilkaviskis	9	4	5	13	733	762	−29
14	Ukmerges Stekas	9	3	6	12	737	817	−80
15	Kretinga	10	2	8	12	797	881	−84
16	Mazeikiai	10	2	8	12	765	865	−100
17	Rytas 2	10	0	10	10	751	873	−122
18	Kauno Atletas	9	0	9	9	696	870	−174

Winners stage
Losers stage

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Mazeikiai host Jurbarkas in the NKL on Saturday, October 10, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.