Manresa vs Breogan prediction
Manresa
27
13
27
28
Breogan
24
27
38
12
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 73%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Manresa95103Breogan10192Manresa95103Breogan10192Total 195 Margin MAN by 11 Win MAN 78% Actual 196 · BRE won
Manresa
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Breogan
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Manresa vs Breogan
Manresa
Breogan
Last 11 and 8 games with full stats · all competitions
Manresa at home, last 5 games · Breogan away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Manresa 1, Breogan 1.
- Average total 186.0 points per meeting
- Over 188.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting BRE by 13 Mar 28, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 28, 2026 ACB Breogan 91–78 Manresa 169 pts
- Jan 10, 2026 ACB Manresa 104–99 Breogan 203 pts
Last five games
Manresa
3-2 - Sep 30: PAOK 93, Manresa 78. Lost. Odds: PAOK 1.11, Manresa 6.15.
- Sep 26: Bilbao 107, Manresa 92. Lost. Odds: Bilbao 1.34, Manresa 3.13.
- May 29: Manresa 94, Real Madrid 87. Won. No odds on record.
- May 23: Gran Canaria 80, Manresa 87. Won. No odds on record.
- May 16: Manresa 101, Basket Zaragoza 83. Won. No odds on record.
Breogan
3-2 - Sep 27: Breogan 110, Joventut Badalona 104. Won. Odds: Breogan 2.63, Joventut Badalona 1.46.
- Sep 19: Dziki Warszawa 113, Breogan 110. Lost. Odds: Dziki Warszawa 5.50, Breogan 1.11.
- Sep 17: Manchester Basketball 84, Breogan 105. Won. Odds: Manchester Basketball 10.00, Breogan 1.02.
- Sep 14: Breogan 126, Rilski Sportist 80. Won. No odds on record.
- May 29: Breogan 94, Basket Zaragoza 95. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Breogan, 2 for Manresa.
- Net rating difference of 20.7 — Manresa −10.0 per 100 possessions, Breogan +10.7.
- 18th vs 5th in the ACB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| MAN moneyline | 1.52 | moved up 1.55 |
| BRE moneyline | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Total points | 188.5 | 188.5 |
| MAN spread | −3.5 | moved down −4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
ACB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Real Madrid |
6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 654 | 526 | +128 |
| 2 |  Valencia |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 594 | 523 | +71 |
| 3 |  Baskonia |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 567 | 497 | +70 |
| 4 |  Tenerife |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 527 | 479 | +48 |
| 5 | Breogan |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 628 | 592 | +36 |
| 6 |  Basket Zaragoza |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 552 | 523 | +29 |
| 7 |  Barcelona |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 582 | 570 | +12 |
| 8 |  Bilbao |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 557 | 556 | +1 |
| 9 |  Unicaja |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 530 | 507 | +23 |
| 10 |  Murcia |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 560 | 563 | −3 |
| 11 |  Obradoiro CAB |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 533 | 576 | −43 |
| 12 |  Basquet Girona |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 543 | 594 | −51 |
| 13 |  San Pablo Burgos |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 528 | 525 | +3 |
| 14 |  Joventut Badalona |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 551 | 549 | +2 |
| 15 |  Leyma Coruna |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 540 | 599 | −59 |
| 16 |  MoraBanc Andorra |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 507 | 579 | −72 |
| 17 |  Forca Lleida |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 557 | 641 | −84 |
| 18 | Manresa |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 506 | 617 | −111 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation - Primera FEB
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Manresa host Breogan in the ACB on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.