Manchester Basketball vs Surrey 89ers prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 80%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 185 Margin MAN by 19 Win MAN 89% Actual 146 · MAN won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Shooting
Manchester Basketball vs Surrey 89ers
Last 14 and 5 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Manchester Basketball 1, Surrey 89ers 3.
- Average total 176.0 points per meeting
- Over 178.5 1 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting SUR by 17 Apr 4, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 4, 2026 SLB Surrey 89ers 94–77 Manchester Basketball 171 pts
- Dec 21, 2025 SLB Manchester Basketball 94–80 Surrey 89ers 174 pts
- Oct 26, 2025 SLB Manchester Basketball 90–95 Surrey 89ers 185 pts
- Sep 27, 2025 SLB Surrey 89ers 94–80 Manchester Basketball 174 pts
Last five games
- Sep 17: Manchester Basketball 84, Breogan 105. Lost. Odds: Manchester Basketball 10.00, Breogan 1.02.
- Sep 14: Wurzburg 73, Manchester Basketball 74. Won. No odds on record.
- May 10: Cheshire Phoenix 123, Manchester Basketball 117. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 8: Manchester Basketball 78, Cheshire Phoenix 106. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 3: Bristol Flyers 85, Manchester Basketball 90. Won. No odds on record.
- May 3: Cheshire Phoenix 100, Surrey 89ers 95. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 1: Surrey 89ers 96, Cheshire Phoenix 128. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Surrey 89ers 62, London Lions 86. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 19: Bristol Flyers 79, Surrey 89ers 89. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 17: Surrey 89ers 117, Caledonia Gladiators 120. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Surrey 89ers coming into this game.
- Over/under moved up from 176.5 to 178.5 since it was first published.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Surrey 89ers.
- 176.0 points per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 178.5.
- 4th vs 9th in the SLB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| MAN moneyline | 1.27 | moved up 1.29 |
| SUR moneyline | 3.40 | moved down 3.35 |
| Total points | 176.5 | moved up 178.5 |
| MAN spread · regulation | −7.5 | moved down −8.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
SLB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 16 | 658 | 585 | +73 | |
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 683 | 593 | +90 | |
| 3 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 641 | 646 | −5 | |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 632 | 654 | −22 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 402 | 433 | −31 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 500 | 486 | +14 | |
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 677 | 679 | −2 | |
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 554 | 575 | −21 | |
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 486 | 520 | −34 | |
| 10 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 577 | 639 | −62 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Manchester Basketball host Surrey 89ers in the SLB on Sunday, September 27, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.