Manchester Basketball vs BC Kalev prediction


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3 picks graded · Average confidence 56%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 165 Margin KAL by 3 Win KAL 59% Actual 174 · MAN won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Manchester Basketball vs BC Kalev
Last 14 and 11 games with full stats · all competitions
Manchester Basketball at home, last 6 games · BC Kalev away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
- Oct 23: Leicester Riders 87, Manchester Basketball 89. Won. Odds: Leicester Riders 1.75, Manchester Basketball 1.92.
- Oct 21: Korfez Basket 112, Manchester Basketball 71. Lost. Odds: Korfez Basket 1.05, Manchester Basketball 7.30.
- Oct 18: Manchester Basketball 92, Caledonia Gladiators 94. Lost. Odds: Manchester Basketball 1.38, Caledonia Gladiators 2.60.
- Oct 16: Newcastle Eagles 78, Manchester Basketball 81. Won. Odds: Newcastle Eagles 1.36, Manchester Basketball 2.89.
- Oct 9: Manchester Basketball 91, Cheshire Phoenix 105. Lost. Odds: Manchester Basketball 1.78, Cheshire Phoenix 1.93.
- Oct 24: BC Kalev 98, Keila Coolbet 77. Won. Odds: BC Kalev 1.02, Keila Coolbet 7.50.
- Oct 21: BC Kalev/Cramo 88, Bashkimi 84. Won. Odds: BC Kalev/Cramo 1.67, Bashkimi 2.02.
- Oct 17: BC Kalev/Cramo 100, Rigas Juniori 79. Won. Odds: BC Kalev/Cramo 1.03, Rigas Juniori 9.50.
- Oct 14: Valmiera Glass Via 82, BC Kalev/Cramo 74. Lost. Odds: Valmiera Glass Via 1.35, BC Kalev/Cramo 3.01.
- Oct 10: BC Kalev/Cramo 73, Ventspils 86. Lost. Odds: BC Kalev/Cramo 1.46, Ventspils 2.59.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for BC Kalev coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Manchester Basketball dropped from 2.30 to 1.61 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved down from 169.5 to 163.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 9.3 — Manchester Basketball −6.5 per 100 possessions, BC Kalev +2.8.
- 6th vs 3rd in the FIBA Europe Cup standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| MAN moneyline | 2.30 | moved down 1.61 |
| KAL moneyline | 1.57 | moved up 2.25 |
| Total points | 169.5 | moved down 163.5 |
| MAN spread | +1.5 | moved down −3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
FIBA Europe Cup standings
Regular Season · Group F
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 347 | 289 | +58 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 351 | 305 | +46 | |
| 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 331 | 333 | −2 | |
| 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 321 | 349 | −28 | |
| 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 229 | 259 | −30 | |
| 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 232 | 276 | −44 |
- Second stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Manchester Basketball host BC Kalev in the FIBA Europe Cup on Wednesday, October 28, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.