Malbas vs Ockelbo Prediction & Odds — Oct 3

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Superettan Saturday, October 3, 2026Sat, Oct 3 Start10:00ET

MalbasHome · 0-9 · 13th · 1.31

7118161819

OckelboAway · 3-5 · 11th · 3.05

7322152313

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Malbas 18 16 18 19

Ockelbo 22 15 23 13

FT Heleneholms Sporthall · SwedenHeleneholms Sporthall

Best tip of the game

Total points Lost

O157.5 1.82 64%

Over 157.5 points edge +9.3%

Best tip of the game Total points · Lost O157.5 1.82 Over 157.5 points Confidence64% model 59.7% · market 50.4% edge +9.3%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 74%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.25 79.7% 78.2% +1.5% 89% Lost

Total points O157.5 1.82 59.7% 50.4% +9.3% 64% Lost

Point spread MAL -10.5 1.80 61.3% 48.2% +13.1% 69% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Malbas7189

Ockelbo7373

Total 162 actual 144

Winning margin MAL by 16 actual OCK by 2

Chance to win MAL 80% OCK won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Malbas7189

Ockelbo7373

Total 162 Margin MAL by 16 Win MAL 80% Actual 144 · OCK won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 18+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Malbas large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Ockelbo

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Malbas vs Ockelbo

Malbas Ockelbo

Last 8 and 6 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Malbas 1-4

Sep 19: Malbas 84, Eskilstuna 99. Lost. Odds: Malbas 3.75, Eskilstuna 1.23.
Apr 26: Malbas 90, Huddinge 95. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 23: Huddinge 82, Malbas 67. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 11: Malbas 78, Alvik 86. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 1: Malbas 83, IK Eos 61. Won. No odds on record.

Ockelbo 2-3

Sep 26: Cross Over 75, Ockelbo 94. Won. No odds on record.
Sep 19: Alvik 127, Ockelbo 59. Lost. Odds: Alvik 1.18, Ockelbo 4.00.
Apr 12: Djurgarden 82, Ockelbo 76. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 10: Ockelbo 72, Blackeberg 57. Won. No odds on record.
Mar 28: Ockelbo 63, Malbas 75. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
MAL moneyline	1.17	moved up 1.31
OCK moneyline	4.20	moved down 3.05
Total points	157.5	moved up 161.5
MAL spread	−10.5	moved up −8.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Superettan standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Fryshuset Basket	8	6	2	14	725	652	+73
2	Alvik	8	6	2	14	736	598	+138
3	AIK Basket	6	5	1	11	500	426	+74
4	Eskilstuna	8	5	3	13	702	689	+13
5	Wetterbygden Stars	7	5	2	12	616	575	+41
6	Sollentuna	8	4	4	12	679	628	+51
7	Huddinge	8	4	4	12	609	653	−44
8	Norrort	6	4	2	10	536	485	+51
9	IK Eos	5	3	2	8	467	368	+99
10	Trelleborg	6	3	3	9	491	497	−6
11	Ockelbo	8	3	5	11	586	666	−80
12	Djurgarden	6	2	4	8	457	525	−68
13	Malbas	9	0	9	9	623	776	−153
14	Cross Over	7	0	7	7	492	681	−189

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Relegation

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Malbas host Ockelbo in the Superettan on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.