Mainland Pouakai vs Tokomanawa Queens prediction
Mainland Pouakai
19
22
26
26
Tokomanawa Queens
23
16
22
29
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Mainland Pouakai9391Tokomanawa Queens9076Mainland Pouakai9391Tokomanawa Queens9076Total 167 Margin MAI by 15 Win MAI 84% Actual 183 · MAI won
Mainland Pouakai
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Tokomanawa Queens
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Mainland Pouakai vs Tokomanawa Queens
Mainland Pouakai
Tokomanawa Queens
Last 7 and 5 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Mainland Pouakai 3, Tokomanawa Queens 1.
- Average total 176.3 points per meeting
- Over 171.5 3 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting MAI by 37 Oct 4, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 4, 2026 Tauihi Women Tokomanawa Queens 77–114 Mainland Pouakai 191 pts
- Nov 7, 2025 Tauihi Women Tokomanawa Queens 89–93 Mainland Pouakai 182 pts
- Oct 24, 2025 Tauihi Women Mainland Pouakai 103–79 Tokomanawa Queens 182 pts
- Oct 3, 2025 Tauihi Women Tokomanawa Queens 81–69 Mainland Pouakai 150 pts
Last five games
Mainland Pouakai
3-2 - Oct 17: Mainland Pouakai 75, Southern Hoiho 82. Lost. Odds: Mainland Pouakai 1.61, Southern Hoiho 2.17.
- Oct 10: Northern Kahu 87, Mainland Pouakai 94. Won. Odds: Northern Kahu 2.80, Mainland Pouakai 1.38.
- Oct 9: Mainland Pouakai 78, Tauranga Whai 82. Lost. Odds: Mainland Pouakai 1.36, Tauranga Whai 2.75.
- Oct 4: Tokomanawa Queens 77, Mainland Pouakai 114. Won. Odds: Tokomanawa Queens 1.26, Mainland Pouakai 3.40.
- Sep 26: Mainland Pouakai 87, Southern Hoiho 80. Won. Odds: Mainland Pouakai 1.62, Southern Hoiho 2.10.
Tokomanawa Queens
0-5 - Oct 16: Tokomanawa Queens 79, Tauranga Whai 84. Lost. Odds: Tokomanawa Queens 1.95, Tauranga Whai 1.75.
- Oct 11: Southern Hoiho 84, Tokomanawa Queens 81. Lost. Odds: Southern Hoiho 1.70, Tokomanawa Queens 2.00.
- Oct 4: Tokomanawa Queens 77, Mainland Pouakai 114. Lost. Odds: Tokomanawa Queens 1.26, Mainland Pouakai 3.40.
- Sep 26: Tokomanawa Queens 69, Northern Kahu 75. Lost. Odds: Tokomanawa Queens 1.62, Northern Kahu 2.10.
- Dec 5, 2025: Tokomanawa Queens 76, Mid-North Whai 82. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-game losing streak for Tokomanawa Queens coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Mainland Pouakai dropped from 1.37 to 1.28 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 22.4 — Mainland Pouakai +9.5 per 100 possessions, Tokomanawa Queens −12.9.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Mainland Pouakai.
- 176.3 points per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 171.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| MAI moneyline | 1.37 | moved down 1.28 |
| TOK moneyline | 2.67 | moved up 2.90 |
| Total points | 171.5 | 171.5 |
| MAI spread | −6.5 | −6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Tauihi Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Southern Hoiho |
8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 638 | 583 | +55 |
| 2 | Mainland Pouakai |
7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 631 | 573 | +58 |
| 3 |  Tauranga Whai |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 530 | 538 | −8 |
| 4 |  Northern Kahu |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 442 | 492 | −50 |
| 5 | Tokomanawa Queens |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 477 | 532 | −55 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Mainland Pouakai host Tokomanawa Queens in the Tauihi Women on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.