Mainland Pouakai vs Tauranga Whai prediction
Mainland Pouakai
18
18
25
17
Tauranga Whai
25
23
15
19
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 68%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Mainland Pouakai7882Tauranga Whai8269Mainland Pouakai7882Tauranga Whai8269Total 151 Margin MAI by 13 Win MAI 76% Actual 160 · TAU won
Mainland Pouakai
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Tauranga Whai
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Mainland Pouakai vs Tauranga Whai
Mainland Pouakai
Tauranga Whai
Last 7 and 6 games with full stats · all competitions
Mainland Pouakai at home, last 4 games · Tauranga Whai away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Mainland Pouakai 2, Tauranga Whai 3.
- Average total 162.4 points per meeting
- Over 162.5 2 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting MAI by 15 Oct 31, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 31, 2026 Tauihi Women Tauranga Whai 75–90 Mainland Pouakai 165 pts
- Dec 13, 2025 Tauihi Women Mainland Pouakai 66–93 Mid-North Whai 159 pts
- Nov 16, 2025 Tauihi Women Mid-North Whai 63–68 Mainland Pouakai 131 pts
- Oct 17, 2025 Tauihi Women Mainland Pouakai 93–102 Mid-North Whai 195 pts
- Oct 10, 2025 Tauihi Women Mainland Pouakai 77–85 Mid-North Whai 162 pts
Last five games
Mainland Pouakai
4-1 - Oct 4: Tokomanawa Queens 77, Mainland Pouakai 114. Won. Odds: Tokomanawa Queens 1.26, Mainland Pouakai 3.40.
- Sep 26: Mainland Pouakai 87, Southern Hoiho 80. Won. Odds: Mainland Pouakai 1.62, Southern Hoiho 2.10.
- Dec 13, 2025: Mainland Pouakai 66, Mid-North Whai 93. Lost. No odds on record.
- Dec 6, 2025: Mainland Pouakai 99, Southern Hoiho 92. Won. No odds on record.
- Nov 28, 2025: Mainland Pouakai 102, Northern Kahu 62. Won. No odds on record.
Tauranga Whai
4-1 - Oct 2: Mid-North Whai 59, Southern Hoiho 67. Lost. Odds: Mid-North Whai 1.20, Southern Hoiho 3.90.
- Sep 25: Mid-North Whai 81, Northern Kahu 60. Won. Odds: Mid-North Whai 1.31, Northern Kahu 3.10.
- Dec 13, 2025: Mainland Pouakai 66, Mid-North Whai 93. Won. No odds on record.
- Dec 5, 2025: Tokomanawa Queens 76, Mid-North Whai 82. Won. No odds on record.
- Nov 28, 2025: Mid-North Whai 93, Southern Hoiho 84. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Mainland Pouakai dropped from 1.52 to 1.36 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Tauranga Whai, 4 for Mainland Pouakai.
- Over/under moved up from 160.5 to 162.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 8.7 — Mainland Pouakai +9.5 per 100 possessions, Tauranga Whai +0.8.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Tauranga Whai.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| MAI moneyline | 1.52 | moved down 1.36 |
| TAU moneyline | 2.32 | moved up 2.75 |
| Total points | 160.5 | moved up 162.5 |
| MAI spread | −3.5 | −3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Tauihi Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Southern Hoiho |
8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 638 | 583 | +55 |
| 2 | Mainland Pouakai |
7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 631 | 573 | +58 |
| 3 | Tauranga Whai |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 530 | 538 | −8 |
| 4 |  Northern Kahu |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 442 | 492 | −50 |
| 5 |  Tokomanawa Queens |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 477 | 532 | −55 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Mainland Pouakai host Tauranga Whai in the Tauihi Women on Friday, October 9, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.