Mainland Pouakai vs Southern Hoiho prediction
Mainland Pouakai
24
13
25
13
Southern Hoiho
20
23
18
21
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 55%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Mainland Pouakai7588Southern Hoiho8283Mainland Pouakai7588Southern Hoiho8283Total 171 Margin MAI by 5 Win MAI 61% Actual 157 · SOU won
Mainland Pouakai
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Southern Hoiho
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Mainland Pouakai vs Southern Hoiho
Mainland Pouakai
Southern Hoiho
Last 7 games each with full stats · all competitions
Mainland Pouakai at home, last 4 games · Southern Hoiho away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Mainland Pouakai 3, Southern Hoiho 2.
- Average total 184.6 points per meeting
- Over 169.5 3 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting MAI by 7 Sep 26, 2026
Meetings
- Sep 26, 2026 Tauihi Women Mainland Pouakai 87–80 Southern Hoiho 167 pts
- Dec 6, 2025 Tauihi Women Mainland Pouakai 99–92 Southern Hoiho 191 pts
- Nov 20, 2025 Tauihi Women Southern Hoiho 99–94 Mainland Pouakai 193 pts
- Oct 31, 2025 Tauihi Women Southern Hoiho 102–66 Mainland Pouakai 168 pts
- Sep 26, 2025 Tauihi Women Mainland Pouakai 121–83 Southern Hoiho 204 pts
Last five games
Mainland Pouakai
3-2 - Oct 10: Northern Kahu 87, Mainland Pouakai 94. Won. Odds: Northern Kahu 2.80, Mainland Pouakai 1.38.
- Oct 9: Mainland Pouakai 78, Tauranga Whai 82. Lost. Odds: Mainland Pouakai 1.36, Tauranga Whai 2.75.
- Oct 4: Tokomanawa Queens 77, Mainland Pouakai 114. Won. Odds: Tokomanawa Queens 1.26, Mainland Pouakai 3.40.
- Sep 26: Mainland Pouakai 87, Southern Hoiho 80. Won. Odds: Mainland Pouakai 1.62, Southern Hoiho 2.10.
- Dec 13, 2025: Mainland Pouakai 66, Mid-North Whai 93. Lost. No odds on record.
Southern Hoiho
3-2 - Oct 11: Southern Hoiho 84, Tokomanawa Queens 81. Won. Odds: Southern Hoiho 1.70, Tokomanawa Queens 2.00.
- Oct 3: Northern Kahu 66, Southern Hoiho 78. Won. Odds: Northern Kahu 1.72, Southern Hoiho 1.98.
- Oct 2: Mid-North Whai 59, Southern Hoiho 67. Won. Odds: Mid-North Whai 1.20, Southern Hoiho 3.90.
- Sep 26: Mainland Pouakai 87, Southern Hoiho 80. Lost. Odds: Mainland Pouakai 1.62, Southern Hoiho 2.10.
- Dec 6, 2025: Mainland Pouakai 99, Southern Hoiho 92. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Southern Hoiho coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Southern Hoiho dropped from 2.65 to 2.17 since they were first published.
- 4-1 away for Southern Hoiho this season.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Mainland Pouakai.
- 184.6 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 169.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| MAI moneyline | 1.43 | moved up 1.61 |
| SOU moneyline | 2.65 | moved down 2.17 |
| Total points | 169.5 | 169.5 |
| MAI spread | −4.5 | moved up −3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Tauihi Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southern Hoiho |
8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 638 | 583 | +55 |
| 2 | Mainland Pouakai |
7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 631 | 573 | +58 |
| 3 |  Tauranga Whai |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 530 | 538 | −8 |
| 4 |  Northern Kahu |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 442 | 492 | −50 |
| 5 |  Tokomanawa Queens |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 477 | 532 | −55 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Mainland Pouakai host Southern Hoiho in the Tauihi Women on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.