Mainland Pouakai vs Southern Hoiho prediction
Mainland Pouakai
28
19
14
26
Southern Hoiho
20
16
23
21
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 56%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Mainland Pouakai8782Southern Hoiho8079Mainland Pouakai8782Southern Hoiho8079Total 161 Margin MAI by 3 Win MAI 59% Actual 167 · MAI won
Mainland Pouakai
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Southern Hoiho
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Mainland Pouakai vs Southern Hoiho
Mainland Pouakai
Southern Hoiho
Last 7 games each with full stats · all competitions
Mainland Pouakai at home, last 4 games · Southern Hoiho away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Mainland Pouakai 2, Southern Hoiho 3.
- Average total 182.6 points per meeting
- Overtime 0 of 5 meetings went to overtime
- Last meeting SOU by 7 Oct 17, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 17, 2026 Tauihi Women Mainland Pouakai 75–82 Southern Hoiho 157 pts
- Dec 6, 2025 Tauihi Women Mainland Pouakai 99–92 Southern Hoiho 191 pts
- Nov 20, 2025 Tauihi Women Southern Hoiho 99–94 Mainland Pouakai 193 pts
- Oct 31, 2025 Tauihi Women Southern Hoiho 102–66 Mainland Pouakai 168 pts
- Sep 26, 2025 Tauihi Women Mainland Pouakai 121–83 Southern Hoiho 204 pts
Last five games
Mainland Pouakai
3-2 - Dec 13, 2025: Mainland Pouakai 66, Mid-North Whai 93. Lost. No odds on record.
- Dec 6, 2025: Mainland Pouakai 99, Southern Hoiho 92. Won. No odds on record.
- Nov 28, 2025: Mainland Pouakai 102, Northern Kahu 62. Won. No odds on record.
- Nov 20, 2025: Southern Hoiho 99, Mainland Pouakai 94. Lost. No odds on record.
- Nov 16, 2025: Mid-North Whai 63, Mainland Pouakai 68. Won. No odds on record.
Southern Hoiho
3-2 - Dec 6, 2025: Mainland Pouakai 99, Southern Hoiho 92. Lost. No odds on record.
- Nov 28, 2025: Mid-North Whai 93, Southern Hoiho 84. Lost. No odds on record.
- Nov 20, 2025: Southern Hoiho 99, Mainland Pouakai 94. Won. No odds on record.
- Nov 15, 2025: Southern Hoiho 75, Tokomanawa Queens 68. Won. No odds on record.
- Nov 8, 2025: Northern Kahu 59, Southern Hoiho 73. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Southern Hoiho dropped from 2.42 to 2.10 since they were first published.
- 4-1 away for Southern Hoiho this season.
- Over/under moved up from 158.5 to 161.5 since it was first published.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Southern Hoiho.
- 182.6 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 161.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| MAI moneyline | 1.47 | moved up 1.62 |
| SOU moneyline | 2.42 | moved down 2.10 |
| Total points · regulation | 158.5 | moved up 161.5 |
| MAI spread · regulation | −1.5 | −1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Tauihi Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southern Hoiho |
8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 638 | 583 | +55 |
| 2 | Mainland Pouakai |
7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 631 | 573 | +58 |
| 3 |  Tauranga Whai |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 530 | 538 | −8 |
| 4 |  Northern Kahu |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 442 | 492 | −50 |
| 5 |  Tokomanawa Queens |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 477 | 532 | −55 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Mainland Pouakai host Southern Hoiho in the Tauihi Women on Saturday, September 26, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.