Maia vs Lusitania prediction
Maia
28
8
25
21
Lusitania
18
26
15
18
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Maia8283Lusitania7782Maia8283Lusitania7782Total 165 Margin MAI by 1 Win MAI 55% Actual 159 · MAI won
Maia
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Lusitania
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Maia vs Lusitania
Maia
Lusitania
Last 30 and 29 games with full stats · all competitions
Maia at home, last 16 games · Lusitania away, last 14
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Maia 1, Lusitania 1.
- Average total 150.0 points per meeting
- Over 154.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting MAI by 4 Dec 27, 2025
Meetings
- Dec 27, 2025 Proliga Maia 85–81 Lusitania 166 pts
- Oct 31, 2025 Proliga Lusitania 69–65 Maia 134 pts
Last five games
Maia
4-1 - Oct 17: Santo Andre 72, Maia 59. Lost. Odds: Santo Andre 2.52, Maia 1.46.
- Oct 3: Maia 105, Ginasio Olhanense 96. Won. Odds: Maia 1.83, Ginasio Olhanense 1.85.
- May 1: Ginasio Olhanense 73, Maia 83. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Maia 75, CD Povoa 73. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 18: Maia 73, Portimonense 63. Won. No odds on record.
Lusitania
5-0 - Oct 17: Lusitania 77, Galomar 75. Won. Odds: Lusitania 1.29, Galomar 3.25.
- Oct 11: Ginasio Olhanense 56, Lusitania 88. Won. Odds: Ginasio Olhanense 2.02, Lusitania 1.67.
- Oct 5: Lusitania 73, Barcelos 68. Won. Odds: Lusitania 1.30, Barcelos 3.10.
- May 2: Lusitania 89, CB Queluz 68. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 26: Academica 79, Lusitania 85. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 10+ straight wins for Lusitania coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Lusitania dropped from 1.75 to 1.53 since they were first published.
- 4-1 in the last five for Maia.
- 12th vs 5th in the Proliga standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| MAI moneyline | 1.93 | moved up 2.30 |
| LUS moneyline | 1.75 | moved down 1.53 |
| Total points | 155.5 | moved down 154.5 |
| MAI spread | +1.5 | moved up +2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Proliga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sangalhos |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 393 | 307 | +86 |
| 2 |  Galitos Aveiro |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 377 | 352 | +25 |
| 3 |  Santo Andre |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 395 | 371 | +24 |
| 4 |  Sampaense |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 438 | 408 | +30 |
| 5 | Lusitania |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 395 | 366 | +29 |
| 6 |  CB Queluz |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 355 | 355 | 0 |
| 7 |  Galitos Barreiro |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 360 | 361 | −1 |
| 8 |  Galomar |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 330 | 288 | +42 |
| 9 |  Vasco Da Gama |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 414 | 430 | −16 |
| 10 |  Illiabum |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 350 | 373 | −23 |
| 11 |  Barreirense |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 393 | 419 | −26 |
| 12 | Maia |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 331 | 340 | −9 |
| 13 |  Ginasio Olhanense |
5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 402 | 456 | −54 |
| 14 |  Academica |
5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 396 | 430 | −34 |
| 15 |  Barcelos |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 268 | 303 | −35 |
| 16 |  Benfica Lisboa B |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 260 | 298 | −38 |
- LPB
- Playoffs
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Maia host Lusitania in the Proliga on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.