Magnolia Hotshots vs TNT Tropang 5G prediction
Magnolia Hotshots
21
20
15
31
TNT Tropang 5G
23
27
29
19
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Magnolia Hotshots8794TNT Tropang 5G98104Magnolia Hotshots8794TNT Tropang 5G98104Total 198 Margin TT5 by 10 Win TT5 74% Actual 185 · TT5 won
Magnolia Hotshots vs TNT Tropang 5G
Magnolia Hotshots
TNT Tropang 5G
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Magnolia Hotshots 0, TNT Tropang 5G 3.
- Average total 166.7 points per meeting
- Over 186.5 0 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting TT5 by 18 Oct 28, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 28, 2026 Governors Cup TNT Tropang 5G 91–73 Magnolia Hotshots 164 pts
- Sep 17, 2024 Governors Cup Magnolia Hotshots 82–84 TNT Tropang 5G 166 pts
- Aug 29, 2024 Governors Cup TNT Tropang 5G 88–82 Magnolia Hotshots 170 pts
Last five games
Magnolia Hotshots
4-1 - Oct 28: TNT Tropang 5G 91, Magnolia Hotshots 73. Lost. Odds: TNT Tropang 5G 1.75, Magnolia Hotshots 1.92.
- Oct 21: Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 103, Magnolia Hotshots 107. Won. Odds: Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 2.10, Magnolia Hotshots 1.47.
- Oct 11: Magnolia Hotshots 112, Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 93. Won. Odds: Magnolia Hotshots 2.17, Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 1.64.
- Oct 9: Blackwater Bossing 101, Magnolia Hotshots 107. Won. Odds: Blackwater Bossing 3.40, Magnolia Hotshots 1.27.
- Aug 12: Magnolia Hotshots 115, Phoenix Fuelmasters 101. Won. No odds on record.
TNT Tropang 5G
4-1 - Oct 28: TNT Tropang 5G 91, Magnolia Hotshots 73. Won. Odds: TNT Tropang 5G 1.75, Magnolia Hotshots 1.92.
- Oct 18: TNT Tropang 5G 112, Converge FiberXers 114. After overtime. Lost. Odds: TNT Tropang 5G 1.82, Converge FiberXers 1.88.
- Oct 13: Macau Black Bears 87, TNT Tropang 5G 142. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 10: TNT Tropang 5G 116, San Miguel Beermen 98. Won. Odds: TNT Tropang 5G 2.00, San Miguel Beermen 1.52.
- Oct 7: Terrafirma Dyip 92, TNT Tropang 5G 116. Won. Odds: Terrafirma Dyip 2.80, TNT Tropang 5G 1.36.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for TNT Tropang 5G.
- +8.9 points at home — Magnolia Hotshots averaged 100.2 at home and 91.3 away this season.
- 4-1 in the last five for Magnolia Hotshots.
- 4-1 in the last five for TNT Tropang 5G.
- 166.7 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 186.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| MAG moneyline | 3.33 | moved down 3.10 |
| TT5 moneyline | 1.25 | moved up 1.26 |
| Total points | 186.5 | 186.5 |
| MAG spread | +7.5 | +7.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Governors Cup standings
Regular Season · Group B
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magnolia Hotshots |
10 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 1010 | 942 | +68 |
| 2 |  Rain or Shine Elasto Painters |
10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 1092 | 1092 | 0 |
| 3 |  Barangay Ginebra San Miguel |
10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 966 | 944 | +22 |
| 4 |  Phoenix Fuelmasters |
10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 975 | 1020 | −45 |
| 5 |  Meralco Bolts |
10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 997 | 1020 | −23 |
| 6 |  Blackwater Bossing |
10 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 1053 | 1075 | −22 |
Regular Season · Group A
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  NLEX Road Warriors |
12 | 9 | 3 | 21 | 1422 | 1226 | +196 |
| 2 |  San Miguel Beermen |
12 | 9 | 3 | 21 | 1456 | 1303 | +153 |
| 3 |  Converge FiberXers |
12 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 1469 | 1336 | +133 |
| 4 | TNT Tropang 5G |
12 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 1296 | 1190 | +106 |
| 5 |  Terrafirma Dyip |
12 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 1332 | 1341 | −9 |
| 6 |  Macau Black Bears |
12 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 1246 | 1561 | −315 |
| 7 |  Titan Ultra Giant Risers |
12 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 1284 | 1548 | −264 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Magnolia Hotshots host TNT Tropang 5G in the Governors Cup on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.