Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Real Madrid Prediction & Odds

EuroLeague Thursday, October 22, 2026Thu, Oct 22 Start14:05ET Round 7

Maccabi Tel AvivHome · 2-7 · 17th · 2.50

9930222126

Real MadridAway · 6-3 · 4th · 1.46

11323283032

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Maccabi Tel Aviv 30 22 21 26

Real Madrid 23 28 30 32

FT Aleksandar Nikolic HallAleksandar Nikolic Hall · Round 7

Best tip of the game

Point spread Lost

MTA +12.5 1.22 85%

Maccabi Tel Aviv +12.5 on the spread edge +2.3%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Lost MTA +12.5 1.22 Maccabi Tel Aviv +12.5 on the spread Confidence85% model 73.7% · market 71.4% edge +2.3%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 74%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 2.50 41.9% 33.0% +8.9% 51% Lost

Total points O169.5 1.23 76.1% 71.9% +4.2% 85% Won

Point spread MTA +12.5 1.22 73.7% 71.4% +2.3% 85% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Maccabi Tel Aviv9995

Real Madrid11393

Total 188 actual 212

Winning margin MTA by 2 actual REA by 14

Chance to win MTA 57% REA won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Maccabi Tel Aviv9995

Real Madrid11393

Total 188 Margin MTA by 2 Win MTA 57% Actual 212 · REA won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 10+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Maccabi Tel Aviv large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Real Madrid

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Real Madrid

Maccabi Tel Aviv Real Madrid

Last 15 games each with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Maccabi Tel Aviv 4-1

Oct 18: Maccabi Tel Aviv 116, Ironi Kiryat Ata 89. Won. Odds: Maccabi Tel Aviv 1.02, Ironi Kiryat Ata 11.00.
Oct 15: Valencia 88, Maccabi Tel Aviv 91. Won. Odds: Valencia 1.31, Maccabi Tel Aviv 3.38.
Oct 13: Barcelona 90, Maccabi Tel Aviv 87. Lost. Odds: Barcelona 1.41, Maccabi Tel Aviv 2.90.
Oct 10: Maccabi Tel Aviv 120, Galil Elyon 93. Won. Odds: Maccabi Tel Aviv 1.03, Galil Elyon 5.20.
Oct 8: Maccabi Tel Aviv 97, Olimpia Milano 79. Won. Odds: Maccabi Tel Aviv 1.45, Olimpia Milano 2.76.

Real Madrid 5-0

Oct 18: Real Madrid 119, Bilbao 84. Won. Odds: Real Madrid 1.10, Bilbao 5.60.
Oct 15: Real Madrid 111, Lyon-Villeurbanne 92. Won. Odds: Real Madrid 1.16, Lyon-Villeurbanne 5.23.
Oct 13: Olimpia Milano 89, Real Madrid 98. Won. Odds: Olimpia Milano 2.40, Real Madrid 1.57.
Oct 11: Real Madrid 120, Manresa 83. Won. Odds: Real Madrid 1.07, Manresa 7.70.
Oct 8: Real Madrid 86, Partizan Mozzart Bet 76. Won. Odds: Real Madrid 1.23, Partizan Mozzart Bet 4.04.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
MTA moneyline	2.80	moved down 2.50
REA moneyline	1.39	moved up 1.46
Total points	181.5	moved up 182.5
MTA spread	+5.5	moved down +4.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

EuroLeague standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Panathinaikos	9	7	2	.778	761	675	+86
2	Olympiacos	9	7	2	.778	790	739	+51
3	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet	9	6	3	.667	763	683	+80
4	Real Madrid	9	6	3	.667	866	792	+74
5	Valencia	9	6	3	.667	867	806	+61
6	Hapoel Tel Aviv	9	6	3	.667	831	786	+45
7	Fenerbahce	9	6	3	.667	719	689	+30
8	Barcelona	9	6	3	.667	809	784	+25
9	Dubai	9	6	3	.667	787	766	+21
10	Zalgiris Kaunas	9	5	4	.556	773	756	+17
11	Besiktas	9	4	5	.444	810	826	−16
12	Partizan Mozzart Bet	9	4	5	.444	696	715	−19
13	Virtus Bologna	9	4	5	.444	781	802	−21
14	Anadolu Efes	9	4	5	.444	752	776	−24
15	Lyon-Villeurbanne	9	4	5	.444	788	831	−43
16	Paris	9	3	6	.333	795	836	−41
17	Maccabi Tel Aviv	9	2	7	.222	780	852	−72
18	Bayern	9	2	7	.222	769	850	−81
19	Olimpia Milano	9	1	8	.111	738	812	−74
20	Baskonia	9	1	8	.111	748	847	−99

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Play-in

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Maccabi Tel Aviv host Real Madrid in the EuroLeague on Thursday, October 22, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.