Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Olimpia Milano prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 54%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 165 Margin MTA by 7 Win MTA 68% Actual 176 · MTA won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Olimpia Milano
Last 15 and 16 games with full stats · all competitions
Maccabi Tel Aviv at home, last 9 games · Olimpia Milano away, last 8
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Maccabi Tel Aviv 0, Olimpia Milano 2.
- Average total 186.5 points per meeting
- Over 174.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting OLI by 9 Mar 13, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 13, 2026 EuroLeague Olimpia Milano 96–87 Maccabi Tel Aviv 183 pts
- Nov 26, 2025 EuroLeague Maccabi Tel Aviv 88–102 Olimpia Milano 190 pts
Last five games
- Oct 4: Maccabi Tel Aviv 88, Hapoel Jerusalem 71. Won. Odds: Maccabi Tel Aviv 1.41, Hapoel Jerusalem 2.76.
- Oct 2: Panathinaikos 90, Maccabi Tel Aviv 67. Lost. Odds: Panathinaikos 1.12, Maccabi Tel Aviv 5.25.
- Sep 30: Maccabi Tel Aviv 93, Besiktas 109. Lost. Odds: Maccabi Tel Aviv 1.45, Besiktas 2.75.
- Sep 27: Maccabi Tel Aviv 109, Ironi Kiryat Ata 61. Won. Odds: Maccabi Tel Aviv 1.04, Ironi Kiryat Ata 7.50.
- Sep 24: Lyon-Villeurbanne 84, Maccabi Tel Aviv 74. Lost. Odds: Lyon-Villeurbanne 2.36, Maccabi Tel Aviv 1.59.
- Oct 5: Verona 75, Olimpia Milano 72. Lost. Odds: Verona 3.67, Olimpia Milano 1.26.
- Oct 2: Baskonia 87, Olimpia Milano 76. Lost. Odds: Baskonia 1.95, Olimpia Milano 1.87.
- Sep 29: Olimpia Milano 87, Virtus Bologna 85. Won. Odds: Olimpia Milano 1.37, Virtus Bologna 3.08.
- Sep 27: Olimpia Milano 83, Trieste 79. Won. Odds: Olimpia Milano 1.06, Trieste 8.19.
- Sep 25: Partizan Mozzart Bet 92, Olimpia Milano 76. Lost. Odds: Partizan Mozzart Bet 1.73, Olimpia Milano 2.12.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Maccabi Tel Aviv dropped from 1.86 to 1.45 since they were first published.
- 0-5 away for Olimpia Milano this season.
- Over/under moved up from 172.5 to 174.5 since it was first published.
- +16.4 points at home — Maccabi Tel Aviv averaged 95.8 at home and 79.4 away this season.
- 17th vs 19th in the EuroLeague standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| MTA moneyline | 1.86 | moved down 1.45 |
| OLI moneyline | 1.86 | moved up 2.76 |
| Total points | 172.5 | moved up 174.5 |
| MTA spread | −1.5 | moved down −4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
EuroLeague standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 761 | 675 | +86 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 790 | 739 | +51 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 763 | 683 | +80 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 866 | 792 | +74 | |
| 5 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 867 | 806 | +61 | |
| 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 831 | 786 | +45 | |
| 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 719 | 689 | +30 | |
| 8 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 809 | 784 | +25 | |
| 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 787 | 766 | +21 | |
| 10 | 9 | 5 | 4 | .556 | 773 | 756 | +17 | |
| 11 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 810 | 826 | −16 | |
| 12 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 696 | 715 | −19 | |
| 13 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 781 | 802 | −21 | |
| 14 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 752 | 776 | −24 | |
| 15 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 788 | 831 | −43 | |
| 16 | 9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 795 | 836 | −41 | |
| 17 | 9 | 2 | 7 | .222 | 780 | 852 | −72 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | .222 | 769 | 850 | −81 | |
| 19 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 738 | 812 | −74 | |
| 20 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 748 | 847 | −99 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Maccabi Tel Aviv host Olimpia Milano in the EuroLeague on Thursday, October 8, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.