Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Jerusalem prediction
Maccabi Tel Aviv
15
16
28
29
Hapoel Jerusalem
16
16
22
17
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 74%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Maccabi Tel Aviv8896Hapoel Jerusalem7185Maccabi Tel Aviv8896Hapoel Jerusalem7185Total 181 Margin MTA by 11 Win MTA 74% Actual 159 · MTA won
Maccabi Tel Aviv
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Hapoel Jerusalem
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Jerusalem
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Hapoel Jerusalem
Last 15 and 12 games with full stats · all competitions
Maccabi Tel Aviv at home, last 9 games · Hapoel Jerusalem away, last 7
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Maccabi Tel Aviv 2, Hapoel Jerusalem 1.
- Average total 181.3 points per meeting
- Over 177.5 2 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting MTA by 7 May 3, 2026
Meetings
- May 3, 2026 Super League Hapoel Jerusalem 105–112 OT Maccabi Tel Aviv 217 pts · OT
- Jan 11, 2026 Super League Maccabi Tel Aviv 95–84 Hapoel Jerusalem 179 pts
- Sep 26, 2025 League Cup Maccabi Tel Aviv 69–79 Hapoel Jerusalem 148 pts
Last five games
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2-3 - Oct 2: Panathinaikos 90, Maccabi Tel Aviv 67. Lost. Odds: Panathinaikos 1.12, Maccabi Tel Aviv 5.25.
- Sep 30: Maccabi Tel Aviv 93, Besiktas 109. Lost. Odds: Maccabi Tel Aviv 1.45, Besiktas 2.75.
- Sep 27: Maccabi Tel Aviv 109, Ironi Kiryat Ata 61. Won. Odds: Maccabi Tel Aviv 1.04, Ironi Kiryat Ata 7.50.
- Sep 24: Lyon-Villeurbanne 84, Maccabi Tel Aviv 74. Lost. Odds: Lyon-Villeurbanne 2.36, Maccabi Tel Aviv 1.59.
- Jun 23: Hapoel Tel Aviv 79, Maccabi Tel Aviv 83. Won. No odds on record.
Hapoel Jerusalem
4-1 - Sep 29: Hapoel Jerusalem 94, Rostock 73. Won. Odds: Hapoel Jerusalem 1.09, Rostock 6.87.
- Sep 25: Hapoel Jerusalem 88, Bnei Herzliya 68. Won. Odds: Hapoel Jerusalem 1.19, Bnei Herzliya 4.43.
- Sep 18: Hapoel Jerusalem 83, Hapoel Beer Sheva 69. Won. Odds: Hapoel Jerusalem 1.05, Hapoel Beer Sheva 8.66.
- Sep 8: Maccabi Ashdod 77, Hapoel Jerusalem 110. Won. No odds on record.
- Jun 11: Hapoel Tel Aviv 89, Hapoel Jerusalem 81. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Hapoel Jerusalem coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for Hapoel Jerusalem, 1 for Maccabi Tel Aviv.
- Net rating difference of 17.8 — Maccabi Tel Aviv +0.2 per 100 possessions, Hapoel Jerusalem +18.0.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Maccabi Tel Aviv.
- 181.3 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 177.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| MTA moneyline | 1.40 | moved up 1.41 |
| HAP moneyline | 2.75 | moved up 2.76 |
| Total points | 177.5 | 177.5 |
| MTA spread | −5.5 | −5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
League Cup standings
Regular Season · Group 4
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hapoel Jerusalem |
2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 193 | 146 | +47 |
| 2 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva |
2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 172 | 184 | −12 |
| 3 |  Maccabi Ashdod |
2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 178 | 213 | −35 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- 11th-14th places
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Maccabi Tel Aviv host Hapoel Jerusalem in the League Cup on Sunday, October 4, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.