Macau Hou Chon vs Nagasaki prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 53%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 164 Margin MHC by 8 Win MHC 64% Actual 173 · NAG won
Macau Hou Chon vs Nagasaki
Last five games
- Oct 3: Macau Hou Chon 89, Fubon Braves 103. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 26: Nagasaki 101, Ryukyu 84. Won. Odds: Nagasaki 4.75, Ryukyu 1.15.
- Oct 23: Shiga 89, Nagasaki 85. Lost. Odds: Shiga 1.36, Nagasaki 3.00.
- Oct 21: Saga 66, Nagasaki 84. Won. Odds: Saga 3.30, Nagasaki 1.29.
- Oct 19: Nagasaki 65, Altiri Chiba 82. Lost. Odds: Nagasaki 1.65, Altiri Chiba 2.12.
- Oct 17: Tokyo Sunrockers 95, Nagasaki 63. Lost. Odds: Tokyo Sunrockers 1.37, Nagasaki 2.32.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Macau Hou Chon dropped from 4.25 to 1.75 since they were first published.
- 4th vs 3rd in the EASL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| MHC moneyline | 4.25 | moved down 1.75 |
| NAG moneyline | 1.15 | moved up 1.94 |
| Total points | 175.5 | 175.5 |
| MHC spread | +1.5 | +1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
EASL standings
Regular Season · Group B
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.000 | 98 | 83 | +15 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.000 | 103 | 89 | +14 | |
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | .500 | 180 | 174 | +6 | |
| 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 165 | 200 | −35 |
- Playoffs
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Macau Hou Chon host Nagasaki in the EASL on Wednesday, October 28, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.