Lyon vs ESB Villeneuve prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 56%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 135 Margin LYO by 1 Win LYO 54% Actual 163 · VIL won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Lyon vs ESB Villeneuve
Last 7 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Lyon 1, ESB Villeneuve 2.
- Average total 146.0 points per meeting
- Over 137.5 2 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting VIL by 3 Feb 20, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 20, 2026 LFB Women Lyon 64–67 ESB Villeneuve 131 pts
- Jan 17, 2026 French Cup Women ESB Villeneuve 78–72 Lyon 150 pts
- Nov 29, 2025 LFB Women ESB Villeneuve 65–92 Lyon 157 pts
Last five games
- Oct 17: Angers 63, Lyon 69. Won. Odds: Angers 1.60, Lyon 1.87.
- Oct 11: Lyon 59, Bourges 72. Lost. Odds: Lyon 2.40, Bourges 1.44.
- Oct 7: Charnay Bourgogne Sud 74, Lyon 69. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Charnay Bourgogne Sud 1.53, Lyon 2.30.
- Oct 3: Lyon 73, Tronche Meylan 56. Won. Odds: Lyon 1.08, Tronche Meylan 5.93.
- Sep 26: Flammes Carolo 70, Lyon 78. Won. Odds: Flammes Carolo 1.19, Lyon 3.86.
- Oct 18: ESB Villeneuve 80, Chartres 57. Won. Odds: ESB Villeneuve 1.14, Chartres 4.80.
- Oct 14: ESB Villeneuve 92, Brandys nad Labem 51. Won. Odds: ESB Villeneuve –, Brandys nad Labem 15.10.
- Oct 10: Lattes Montpellier 62, ESB Villeneuve 61. Lost. Odds: Lattes Montpellier 1.27, ESB Villeneuve 3.07.
- Oct 7: ESB Villeneuve 59, Landerneau Bretagne 76. Lost. Odds: ESB Villeneuve 1.40, Landerneau Bretagne 2.65.
- Oct 3: Landes 57, ESB Villeneuve 44. Lost. Odds: Landes 1.21, ESB Villeneuve 3.60.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on ESB Villeneuve dropped from 1.98 to 1.75 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 6.2 — Lyon +3.9 per 100 possessions, ESB Villeneuve +10.1.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for ESB Villeneuve.
- 146.0 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 137.5.
- 6th vs 4th in the LFB Women standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LYO moneyline | 1.72 | moved up 1.92 |
| VIL moneyline | 1.98 | moved down 1.75 |
| Total points | 137.5 | 137.5 |
| LYO spread | −1.5 | moved up +1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LFB Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 479 | 407 | +72 | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 515 | 503 | +12 | |
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 510 | 431 | +79 | |
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 478 | 453 | +25 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 540 | 486 | +54 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 483 | 463 | +20 | |
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 455 | 496 | −41 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 442 | 419 | +23 | |
| 9 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 458 | 525 | −67 | |
| 10 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 419 | 434 | −15 | |
| 11 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 399 | 508 | −109 | |
| 12 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 324 | 377 | −53 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play Out
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Lyon host ESB Villeneuve in the LFB Women on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.