Lyon-Villeurbanne vs Baskonia prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 85%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 176 Margin LYO by 6 Win LYO 67% Actual 173 · LYO won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Lyon-Villeurbanne vs Baskonia
Last 16 games each with full stats · all competitions
Lyon-Villeurbanne at home, last 7 games · Baskonia away, last 8
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Lyon-Villeurbanne 1, Baskonia 1.
- Average total 174.0 points per meeting
- Over 175.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting BAS by 5 Jan 9, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 9, 2026 EuroLeague Baskonia 78–73 Lyon-Villeurbanne 151 pts
- Oct 3, 2025 EuroLeague Lyon-Villeurbanne 102–95 Baskonia 197 pts
Last five games
- Oct 28: Lyon-Villeurbanne 82, Partizan Mozzart Bet 75. Won. Odds: Lyon-Villeurbanne 1.86, Partizan Mozzart Bet 1.79.
- Oct 25: Lyon-Villeurbanne 78, Nancy 74. Won. Odds: Lyon-Villeurbanne 1.11, Nancy 6.00.
- Oct 23: Zalgiris Kaunas 105, Lyon-Villeurbanne 85. Lost. Odds: Zalgiris Kaunas 1.20, Lyon-Villeurbanne 4.00.
- Oct 17: Limoges 94, Lyon-Villeurbanne 97. After overtime. Won. Odds: Limoges 2.62, Lyon-Villeurbanne 1.39.
- Oct 15: Real Madrid 111, Lyon-Villeurbanne 92. Lost. Odds: Real Madrid 1.16, Lyon-Villeurbanne 5.23.
- Oct 27: Baskonia 86, Real Madrid 104. Lost. Odds: Baskonia 4.20, Real Madrid 1.19.
- Oct 25: Valencia 84, Baskonia 75. Lost. Odds: Valencia 1.10, Baskonia 6.00.
- Oct 22: Panathinaikos 85, Baskonia 79. Lost. Odds: Panathinaikos 1.02, Baskonia 12.00.
- Oct 18: Tenerife 82, Baskonia 77. Lost. Odds: Tenerife 1.38, Baskonia 2.77.
- Oct 16: Virtus Bologna 86, Baskonia 78. Lost. Odds: Virtus Bologna 1.48, Baskonia 2.45.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 6-game losing streak for Baskonia coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Lyon-Villeurbanne dropped from 1.62 to 1.46 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved down from 180.5 to 175.5 since it was first published.
- 15th vs 20th in the EuroLeague standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LYO moneyline | 1.62 | moved down 1.46 |
| BAS moneyline | 2.18 | moved up 2.50 |
| Total points | 180.5 | moved down 175.5 |
| LYO spread | −2.5 | moved down −4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
EuroLeague standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 761 | 675 | +86 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 790 | 739 | +51 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 763 | 683 | +80 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 866 | 792 | +74 | |
| 5 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 867 | 806 | +61 | |
| 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 831 | 786 | +45 | |
| 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 719 | 689 | +30 | |
| 8 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 809 | 784 | +25 | |
| 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 787 | 766 | +21 | |
| 10 | 9 | 5 | 4 | .556 | 773 | 756 | +17 | |
| 11 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 810 | 826 | −16 | |
| 12 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 696 | 715 | −19 | |
| 13 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 781 | 802 | −21 | |
| 14 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 752 | 776 | −24 | |
| 15 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 788 | 831 | −43 | |
| 16 | 9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 795 | 836 | −41 | |
| 17 | 9 | 2 | 7 | .222 | 780 | 852 | −72 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | .222 | 769 | 850 | −81 | |
| 19 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 738 | 812 | −74 | |
| 20 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 748 | 847 | −99 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Lyon-Villeurbanne host Baskonia in the EuroLeague on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.