Lusitania vs Galomar prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 75%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 164 Margin LUS by 10 Win LUS 75% Actual 152 · LUS won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Lusitania vs Galomar
Last 29 games each with full stats · all competitions
Lusitania at home, last 16 games · Galomar away, last 15
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Lusitania 2, Galomar 0.
- Average total 179.0 points per meeting
- Over 152.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting LUS by 20 Apr 18, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 18, 2026 Proliga Lusitania 108–88 Galomar 196 pts
- Feb 22, 2026 Proliga Galomar 77–85 Lusitania 162 pts
Last five games
- Oct 11: Ginasio Olhanense 56, Lusitania 88. Won. Odds: Ginasio Olhanense 2.02, Lusitania 1.67.
- Oct 5: Lusitania 73, Barcelos 68. Won. Odds: Lusitania 1.30, Barcelos 3.10.
- May 2: Lusitania 89, CB Queluz 68. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 26: Academica 79, Lusitania 85. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 18: Lusitania 108, Galomar 88. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 3: Santo Andre 64, Galomar 72. Won. Odds: Santo Andre 3.10, Galomar 1.31.
- May 2: Santo Andre 74, Galomar 86. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Galomar 88, Sampaense 78. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 18: Lusitania 108, Galomar 88. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 4: Galomar 78, Benfica Lisboa B 73. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 10+ straight wins for Lusitania coming into this game.
- 3-game winning streak for Galomar coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Lusitania dropped from 1.67 to 1.29 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved down from 156.5 to 152.5 since it was first published.
- 5th vs 8th in the Proliga standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LUS moneyline | 1.67 | moved down 1.29 |
| GAL moneyline | 1.93 | moved up 3.25 |
| Total points | 156.5 | moved down 152.5 |
| LUS spread | −1.5 | moved down −6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Proliga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 393 | 307 | +86 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 377 | 352 | +25 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 395 | 371 | +24 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 438 | 408 | +30 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 395 | 366 | +29 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 355 | 355 | 0 | |
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 360 | 361 | −1 | |
| 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 330 | 288 | +42 | |
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 414 | 430 | −16 | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 350 | 373 | −23 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 393 | 419 | −26 | |
| 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 331 | 340 | −9 | |
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 402 | 456 | −54 | |
| 14 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 396 | 430 | −34 | |
| 15 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 268 | 303 | −35 | |
| 16 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 260 | 298 | −38 |
- LPB
- Playoffs
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Lusitania host Galomar in the Proliga on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.