Lund vs Uppsala prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 158 Margin UPP by 8 Win UPP 69% Actual 128 · UPP won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Lund vs Uppsala
Last 25 and 28 games with full stats · all competitions
Lund at home, last 14 games · Uppsala away, last 14
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Lund 0, Uppsala 2.
- Average total 154.0 points per meeting
- Over 150.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting UPP by 13 Oct 26, 2025
Meetings
- Oct 26, 2025 Basketligan Women Uppsala 79–66 Lund 145 pts
- Sep 27, 2025 Basketligan Women Lund 75–88 Uppsala 163 pts
Last five games
- Oct 3: Ostersund 74, Lund 65. Lost. Odds: Ostersund 1.25, Lund 3.45.
- Mar 21: Alvik 73, Lund 85. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 7: Ostersund 82, Lund 62. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 1: Visby 48, Lund 86. Won. No odds on record.
- Feb 24: Lund 85, Malbas Malmo 92. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 3: Uppsala 74, Sodertalje 77. Lost. Odds: Uppsala 3.57, Sodertalje 1.25.
- Mar 30: Norrkoping 85, Uppsala 75. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 28: Uppsala 81, Norrkoping 85. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 21: RIG Lulea 53, Uppsala 75. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 20: Lulea 71, Uppsala 66. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Uppsala coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Uppsala dropped from 1.33 to 1.17 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 15.9 — Lund −4.2 per 100 possessions, Uppsala +11.7.
- 10th vs 7th in the Basketligan Women standings.
- Different pace — Lund averaged 87.3 possessions per game, Uppsala 77.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LUN moneyline | 3.10 | moved up 4.20 |
| UPP moneyline | 1.33 | moved down 1.17 |
| Total points | 150.5 | 150.5 |
| LUN spread | +9.5 | +9.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Basketligan Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 401 | 317 | +84 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 366 | 345 | +21 | |
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 332 | 263 | +69 | |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 496 | 281 | +215 | |
| 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 440 | 319 | +121 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 400 | 396 | +4 | |
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 320 | 288 | +32 | |
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 374 | 382 | −8 | |
| 9 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 328 | 416 | −88 | |
| 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 292 | 381 | −89 | |
| 11 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 290 | 450 | −160 | |
| 12 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 278 | 479 | −201 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation - Basketettan Women
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Lund host Uppsala in the Basketligan Women on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.