Lulea vs Sodertalje prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 154 Margin LUL by 16 Win LUL 82% Actual 127 · SOD won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Lulea vs Sodertalje
Last 29 games each with full stats · all competitions
Lulea at home, last 19 games · Sodertalje away, last 19
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Lulea 5, Sodertalje 0.
- Average total 152.2 points per meeting
- Over 154.5 2 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting LUL by 30 Apr 26, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 26, 2026 Basketligan Women Lulea 94–64 Sodertalje 158 pts
- Apr 24, 2026 Basketligan Women Sodertalje 64–73 Lulea 137 pts
- Apr 21, 2026 Basketligan Women Lulea 95–57 Sodertalje 152 pts
- Feb 18, 2026 Basketligan Women Sodertalje 77–87 Lulea 164 pts
- Jan 9, 2026 Basketligan Women Lulea 92–58 Sodertalje 150 pts
Last five games
- Oct 11: Lulea 132, Brahe 49. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 3: Lulea 105, Visby 74. Won. Odds: Lulea –, Visby 14.00.
- Apr 26: Lulea 94, Sodertalje 64. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 24: Sodertalje 64, Lulea 73. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 21: Lulea 95, Sodertalje 57. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 9: Sodertalje 80, AIK Basket 56. Won. Odds: Sodertalje 1.01, AIK Basket 10.00.
- Oct 3: Uppsala 74, Sodertalje 77. Won. Odds: Uppsala 3.57, Sodertalje 1.25.
- Apr 26: Lulea 94, Sodertalje 64. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 24: Sodertalje 64, Lulea 73. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 21: Lulea 95, Sodertalje 57. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 7-game winning streak for Lulea coming into this game.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Lulea.
- Over/under moved up from 152.5 to 154.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 28.7 — Lulea +32.6 per 100 possessions, Sodertalje +3.9.
- 152.2 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 154.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LUL moneyline | 1.05 | moved down 1.03 |
| SOD moneyline | 7.10 | moved down 6.60 |
| Total points | 152.5 | moved up 154.5 |
| LUL spread | −15.5 | moved down −16.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Basketligan Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 401 | 317 | +84 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 366 | 345 | +21 | |
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 332 | 263 | +69 | |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 496 | 281 | +215 | |
| 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 440 | 319 | +121 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 400 | 396 | +4 | |
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 320 | 288 | +32 | |
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 374 | 382 | −8 | |
| 9 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 328 | 416 | −88 | |
| 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 292 | 381 | −89 | |
| 11 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 290 | 450 | −160 | |
| 12 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 278 | 479 | −201 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation - Basketettan Women
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Lulea host Sodertalje in the Basketligan Women on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.