Ludwigsburg vs Rostock prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 70%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 168 Margin LUD by 6 Win LUD 64% Actual 159 · LUD won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Ludwigsburg vs Rostock
Last 8 and 13 games with full stats · all competitions
Ludwigsburg at home, last 4 games · Rostock away, last 8
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Ludwigsburg 1, Rostock 2.
- Average total 161.0 points per meeting
- Over 165.5 1 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ROS by 20 May 12, 2026
Meetings
- May 12, 2026 BBL Rostock 91–71 Ludwigsburg 162 pts
- Apr 25, 2026 BBL Ludwigsburg 75–61 Rostock 136 pts
- Dec 15, 2025 BBL Rostock 96–89 OT Ludwigsburg 185 pts · OT
Last five games
- Sep 20: Ulm 86, Ludwigsburg 77. Lost. Odds: Ulm 1.55, Ludwigsburg 2.35.
- Sep 13: Kirchheim 73, Ludwigsburg 98. Won. No odds on record.
- May 12: Rostock 91, Ludwigsburg 71. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 10: Wurzburg 75, Ludwigsburg 58. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 7: Ludwigsburg 78, Bayern 86. Lost. No odds on record.
- Sep 19: Rostock 102, Phoenix Hagen 92. Won. Odds: Rostock 1.17, Phoenix Hagen 4.50.
- Sep 11: Hamburg 90, Rostock 81. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 14: Trier 76, Rostock 69. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 12: Rostock 91, Ludwigsburg 71. Won. No odds on record.
- May 10: Rostock 103, Hamburg 71. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Over/under moved down from 170.5 to 165.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 8.6 — Ludwigsburg +6.0 per 100 possessions, Rostock −2.6.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Rostock.
- 1-4 in the last five for Ludwigsburg.
- 161.0 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 165.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LUD moneyline | 1.78 | moved up 1.83 |
| ROS moneyline | 1.93 | moved up 1.94 |
| Total points | 170.5 | moved down 165.5 |
| LUD spread | −1.5 | −1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
BBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 566 | 422 | +144 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 597 | 524 | +73 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 451 | 423 | +28 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 507 | 479 | +28 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 610 | 614 | −4 | |
| 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 497 | 481 | +16 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 616 | 594 | +22 | |
| 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 621 | 572 | +49 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 512 | 485 | +27 | |
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 535 | 567 | −32 | |
| 11 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 500 | 535 | −35 | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 573 | 594 | −21 | |
| 13 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 521 | 584 | −63 | |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 536 | 618 | −82 | |
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 591 | 636 | −45 | |
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 607 | 621 | −14 | |
| 17 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 600 | 633 | −33 | |
| 18 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 479 | 537 | −58 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in
- Relegation - Pro A
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Ludwigsburg host Rostock in the BBL on Thursday, September 24, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.