Lublin vs Polonia Warszawa prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 60%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 157 Margin LUB by 1 Win LUB 52% Actual 137 · LUB won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Lublin vs Polonia Warszawa
Last 11 and 5 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Lublin 2, Polonia Warszawa 0.
- Average total 149.5 points per meeting
- Over 157.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting LUB by 17 Feb 1, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 1, 2026 Energa Basket Liga Women Lublin 79–62 Polonia Warszawa 141 pts
- Nov 30, 2025 Energa Basket Liga Women Polonia Warszawa 64–94 Lublin 158 pts
Last five games
- Oct 28: Lublin 69, Bourges 88. Lost. Odds: Lublin 3.90, Bourges 1.21.
- Oct 25: Gorzow 77, Lublin 72. Lost. Odds: Gorzow 1.28, Lublin 2.95.
- Oct 21: Lublin 71, USK Prague 74. Lost. Odds: Lublin 5.30, USK Prague 1.03.
- Oct 18: Lublin 80, AZS Poznan 71. Won. Odds: Lublin 1.55, AZS Poznan 2.15.
- Oct 14: Emlak Konut 85, Lublin 61. Lost. Odds: Emlak Konut 1.09, Lublin 6.72.
- Oct 25: Polonia Warszawa 81, Sosnowiec 79. Won. Odds: Polonia Warszawa 1.44, Sosnowiec 2.40.
- Oct 18: Basket 25 Bydgoszcz 78, Polonia Warszawa 81. Won. Odds: Basket 25 Bydgoszcz 3.50, Polonia Warszawa 1.20.
- Oct 11: Wisla Krakow 73, Polonia Warszawa 77. Won. Odds: Wisla Krakow 1.20, Polonia Warszawa 3.66.
- Oct 3: Polonia Warszawa 80, Widzew Lodz 69. Won. Odds: Polonia Warszawa 1.68, Widzew Lodz 2.00.
- Sep 27: Polonia Warszawa 97, Pruszkow 76. Won. Odds: Polonia Warszawa 1.02, Pruszkow 9.64.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-game winning streak for Polonia Warszawa coming into this game.
- 3-game losing streak for Lublin coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Polonia Warszawa, 2 for Lublin.
- Net rating difference of 6.0 — Lublin +3.9 per 100 possessions, Polonia Warszawa +9.9.
- 5th vs 6th in the Energa Basket Liga Women standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LUB moneyline | 1.04 | moved down 1.03 |
| POL moneyline | 7.00 | moved down 6.70 |
| Total points | 157.5 | 157.5 |
| LUB spread | −14.5 | −14.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Energa Basket Liga Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 640 | 545 | +95 | |
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 526 | 459 | +67 | |
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 507 | 385 | +122 | |
| 4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 464 | 357 | +107 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 577 | 504 | +73 | |
| 6 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 479 | 449 | +30 | |
| 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 468 | 385 | +83 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 459 | 428 | +31 | |
| 9 | Wisla Krakow | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 418 | 443 | −25 |
| 10 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 461 | 532 | −71 | |
| 11 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 327 | 443 | −116 | |
| 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 411 | 550 | −139 | |
| 13 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 361 | 618 | −257 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play Out
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Lublin host Polonia Warszawa in the Energa Basket Liga Women on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.