Lublin vs Ostrow Wielkopolski prediction
Lublin
13
26
17
16
7
Ostrow Wielkopolski
20
8
24
20
12
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 70%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Lublin7983Ostrow Wielkopolski8485Lublin7983Ostrow Wielkopolski8485Total 168 Margin OST by 2 Win OST 57% Actual 163 · OST won
Lublin
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Ostrow Wielkopolski
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Lublin vs Ostrow Wielkopolski
Lublin
Ostrow Wielkopolski
Last 5 and 28 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Lublin 0, Ostrow Wielkopolski 2.
- Average total 169.0 points per meeting
- Over 169.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting OST by 15 Mar 8, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 8, 2026 Energa Basket Liga Ostrow Wielkopolski 93–78 Lublin 171 pts
- Nov 2, 2025 Energa Basket Liga Lublin 76–91 Ostrow Wielkopolski 167 pts
Last five games
Lublin
2-3 - May 6: Dabrowa Gornicza 105, Lublin 100. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 3: Lublin 80, Gdynia 101. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 26: Lublin 86, GTK Gliwice 82. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 18: Gornik Walbrzych 81, Lublin 86. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 11: Trefl Sopot 103, Lublin 97. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
Ostrow Wielkopolski
2-3 - May 8: Dabrowa Gornicza 94, Ostrow Wielkopolski 86. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 6: Ostrow Wielkopolski 86, Gornik Walbrzych 74. Won. No odds on record.
- May 2: Trefl Sopot 88, Ostrow Wielkopolski 86. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Ostrow Wielkopolski 73, Dziki Warszawa 83. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 17: Slask Wroclaw 73, Ostrow Wielkopolski 77. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Lublin dropped from 2.00 to 1.77 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 9.9 — Lublin −11.4 per 100 possessions, Ostrow Wielkopolski −1.5.
- 14th vs 13th in the Energa Basket Liga standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LUB moneyline | 2.00 | moved down 1.77 |
| OST moneyline | 1.75 | moved up 1.98 |
| Total points | 169.5 | 169.5 |
| LUB spread | −1.5 | −1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Energa Basket Liga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dabrowa Gornicza |
5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 457 | 412 | +45 |
| 2 |  Dziki Warszawa |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 453 | 372 | +81 |
| 3 |  Szczecin |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 429 | 388 | +41 |
| 4 |  Zielona Gora |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 432 | 432 | 0 |
| 5 |  Anwil Wloclawek |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 399 | 398 | +1 |
| 6 |  Gdynia |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 436 | 395 | +41 |
| 7 |  Gornik Walbrzych |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 423 | 407 | +16 |
| 8 |  Legia |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 400 | 418 | −18 |
| 9 |  Slask Wroclaw |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 428 | 422 | +6 |
| 10 |  GTK Gliwice |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 403 | 412 | −9 |
| 11 |  Torun |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 434 | 448 | −14 |
| 12 |  Bydgoszcz |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 442 | 467 | −25 |
| 13 | Ostrow Wielkopolski |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 392 | 411 | −19 |
| 14 | Lublin |
5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 375 | 420 | −45 |
| 15 |  Czarni Slupsk |
5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 391 | 420 | −29 |
| 16 |  Trefl Sopot |
5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 395 | 467 | −72 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in
- Relegation - 1. Liga
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Lublin host Ostrow Wielkopolski in the Energa Basket Liga on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.