Lublin vs AZS Poznan prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 143 Margin POZ by 3 Win POZ 57% Actual 151 · LUB won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Lublin vs AZS Poznan
Last 11 and 10 games with full stats · all competitions
Lublin at home, last 6 games · AZS Poznan away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Lublin 3, AZS Poznan 2.
- Average total 147.8 points per meeting
- Over 144.5 3 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting LUB by 5 Apr 19, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 19, 2026 Energa Basket Liga Women AZS Poznan 77–82 Lublin 159 pts
- Apr 18, 2026 Energa Basket Liga Women AZS Poznan 76–58 Lublin 134 pts
- Apr 15, 2026 Energa Basket Liga Women Lublin 86–71 AZS Poznan 157 pts
- Apr 14, 2026 Energa Basket Liga Women Lublin 76–68 AZS Poznan 144 pts
- Jan 28, 2026 Energa Basket Liga Women AZS Poznan 83–62 Lublin 145 pts
Last five games
- Oct 14: Emlak Konut 85, Lublin 61. Lost. Odds: Emlak Konut 1.09, Lublin 6.72.
- Oct 10: Sleza Wroclaw 79, Lublin 75. Lost. Odds: Sleza Wroclaw 1.51, Lublin 2.48.
- Oct 7: Lublin 69, Torun 54. Won. Odds: Lublin 1.06, Torun 6.75.
- Oct 3: Bochnia 100, Lublin 93. Lost. Odds: Bochnia 5.55, Lublin 1.09.
- Sep 26: Lublin 114, Jelenia Gora 60. Won. Odds: Lublin –, Jelenia Gora 17.00.
- Oct 14: AZS Poznan 77, Landerneau Bretagne 65. Won. Odds: AZS Poznan 1.47, Landerneau Bretagne 2.07.
- Oct 10: AZS Poznan 72, Sosnowiec 56. Won. Odds: AZS Poznan 1.10, Sosnowiec 5.37.
- Oct 7: Basket 25 Bydgoszcz 37, AZS Poznan 67. Won. Odds: Basket 25 Bydgoszcz 6.75, AZS Poznan 1.06.
- Oct 4: AZS Poznan 71, Wisla Krakow 69. Won. Odds: AZS Poznan 1.11, Wisla Krakow 5.06.
- Sep 23: Kibirkstis Vilnius 91, AZS Poznan 69. Lost. Odds: Kibirkstis Vilnius 1.32, AZS Poznan 3.24.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for AZS Poznan coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Lublin dropped from 1.85 to 1.55 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 10.0 — Lublin +3.9 per 100 possessions, AZS Poznan +13.9.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Lublin.
- 147.8 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 144.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LUB moneyline | 1.85 | moved down 1.55 |
| POZ moneyline | 1.85 | moved up 2.15 |
| Total points | 144.5 | 144.5 |
| LUB spread | −3.5 | −3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Energa Basket Liga Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 640 | 545 | +95 | |
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 526 | 459 | +67 | |
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 507 | 385 | +122 | |
| 4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 464 | 357 | +107 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 577 | 504 | +73 | |
| 6 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 479 | 449 | +30 | |
| 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 468 | 385 | +83 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 459 | 428 | +31 | |
| 9 | Wisla Krakow | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 418 | 443 | −25 |
| 10 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 461 | 532 | −71 | |
| 11 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 327 | 443 | −116 | |
| 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 411 | 550 | −139 | |
| 13 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 361 | 618 | −257 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play Out
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Lublin host AZS Poznan in the Energa Basket Liga Women on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.