Los Angeles Sparks vs Portland Fire prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 60%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 174 Win POR 52% Actual 189 · LAS won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Shooting
Los Angeles Sparks vs Portland Fire
Last 29 and 30 games with full stats · all competitions
Los Angeles Sparks at home, last 21 games · Portland Fire away, last 22
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Los Angeles Sparks 3, Portland Fire 0.
- Average total 176.0 points per meeting
- Over 176.5 1 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting LAS by 5 Aug 2, 2026
Meetings
- Aug 2, 2026 WNBA Portland Fire 101–106 Los Angeles Sparks 207 pts
- Jun 7, 2026 WNBA Los Angeles Sparks 89–72 Portland Fire 161 pts
- May 3, 2026 WNBA Portland Fire 75–85 Los Angeles Sparks 160 pts
Last five games
- Sep 17: Dallas Wings 97, Los Angeles Sparks 77. Lost. Odds: Dallas Wings 1.26, Los Angeles Sparks 3.68.
- Aug 30: Seattle Storm 74, Los Angeles Sparks 90. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 28: Los Angeles Sparks 88, Washington Mystics 82. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 24: Los Angeles Sparks 71, Atlanta Dream 78. Lost. No odds on record.
- Aug 22: Los Angeles Sparks 77, Connecticut Sun 68. Won. No odds on record.
- Sep 18: Golden State Valkyries 82, Portland Fire 66. Lost. Odds: Golden State Valkyries 1.10, Portland Fire 5.85.
- Sep 17: Portland Fire 91, Phoenix Mercury 94. Lost. Odds: Portland Fire 2.25, Phoenix Mercury 1.61.
- Aug 30: Portland Fire 69, Golden State Valkyries 86. Lost. No odds on record.
- Aug 28: Atlanta Dream 83, Portland Fire 101. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 25: Dallas Wings 96, Portland Fire 78. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Portland Fire coming into this game.
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for Los Angeles Sparks.
- 176.0 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 176.5.
- 6th vs 5th in the WNBA standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LAS moneyline | 1.65 | moved up 1.73 |
| POR moneyline | 2.22 | moved down 2.06 |
| Total points | 175.5 | moved up 176.5 |
| LAS spread | −2.5 | moved up −1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
WNBA standings
Regular Season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 44 | 33 | 11 | .750 | 3997 | 3681 | +316 | |
| 2 | 44 | 32 | 12 | .727 | 3615 | 3306 | +309 | |
| 3 | 44 | 31 | 13 | .705 | 4025 | 3776 | +249 | |
| 4 | 44 | 27 | 17 | .614 | 3933 | 3751 | +182 | |
| 5 | 44 | 17 | 27 | .386 | 3794 | 4005 | −211 | |
| 6 | 44 | 16 | 28 | .364 | 3830 | 4018 | −188 | |
| 7 | 44 | 16 | 28 | .364 | 3712 | 3854 | −142 | |
| 8 | 44 | 8 | 36 | .182 | 3616 | 3913 | −297 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Los Angeles Sparks host Portland Fire in the WNBA on Sunday, September 20, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.