Los Angeles Sparks vs Golden State Valkyries prediction
Los Angeles Sparks
13
22
20
20
Golden State Valkyries
15
11
20
30
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 58%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Los Angeles Sparks7585Golden State Valkyries7675Los Angeles Sparks7585Golden State Valkyries7675Total 160 Margin LAS by 10 Win LAS 78% Actual 151 · GSV won
Los Angeles Sparks
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Golden State Valkyries
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Los Angeles Sparks vs Golden State Valkyries
Los Angeles Sparks
Golden State Valkyries
Last 29 games each with full stats · all competitions
Los Angeles Sparks at home, last 21 games · Golden State Valkyries away, last 26
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Los Angeles Sparks 0, Golden State Valkyries 5.
- Average total 150.8 points per meeting
- Over 158.5 2 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting GSV by 6 Aug 9, 2026
Meetings
- Aug 9, 2026 WNBA Los Angeles Sparks 78–84 Golden State Valkyries 162 pts
- Jun 15, 2026 WNBA Golden State Valkyries 78–58 Los Angeles Sparks 136 pts
- Aug 9, 2025 WNBA Golden State Valkyries 72–59 Los Angeles Sparks 131 pts
- Jun 9, 2025 WNBA Los Angeles Sparks 81–89 OT Golden State Valkyries 170 pts · OT
- May 23, 2025 WNBA Los Angeles Sparks 73–82 Golden State Valkyries 155 pts
Last five games
Los Angeles Sparks
3-2 - Sep 22: Las Vegas Aces 89, Los Angeles Sparks 79. Lost. Odds: Las Vegas Aces 1.05, Los Angeles Sparks 10.00.
- Sep 20: Los Angeles Sparks 105, Portland Fire 84. Won. Odds: Los Angeles Sparks 1.73, Portland Fire 2.06.
- Sep 17: Dallas Wings 97, Los Angeles Sparks 77. Lost. Odds: Dallas Wings 1.26, Los Angeles Sparks 3.68.
- Aug 30: Seattle Storm 74, Los Angeles Sparks 90. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 28: Los Angeles Sparks 88, Washington Mystics 82. Won. No odds on record.
Golden State Valkyries
4-1 - Sep 22: Portland Fire 90, Golden State Valkyries 82. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Portland Fire 7.60, Golden State Valkyries 1.08.
- Sep 19: Golden State Valkyries 70, Seattle Storm 57. Won. Odds: Golden State Valkyries 1.11, Seattle Storm 6.00.
- Sep 18: Golden State Valkyries 82, Portland Fire 66. Won. Odds: Golden State Valkyries 1.10, Portland Fire 5.85.
- Aug 30: Portland Fire 69, Golden State Valkyries 86. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 27: New York Liberty 60, Golden State Valkyries 79. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Golden State Valkyries dropped from 1.25 to 1.17 since they were first published.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Golden State Valkyries.
- Net rating difference of 11.2 — Los Angeles Sparks −5.2 per 100 possessions, Golden State Valkyries +6.0.
- 4-1 in the last five for Golden State Valkyries.
- 150.8 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 158.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LAS moneyline | 4.05 | moved up 4.90 |
| GSV moneyline | 1.25 | moved down 1.17 |
| Total points | 159.5 | moved down 158.5 |
| LAS spread | +11.5 | +11.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
WNBA standings
Regular Season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minnesota Lynx |
44 | 33 | 11 | .750 | 3997 | 3681 | +316 |
| 2 | Golden State Valkyries |
44 | 32 | 12 | .727 | 3615 | 3306 | +309 |
| 3 |  Las Vegas Aces |
44 | 31 | 13 | .705 | 4025 | 3776 | +249 |
| 4 |  Dallas Wings |
44 | 27 | 17 | .614 | 3933 | 3751 | +182 |
| 5 |  Portland Fire |
44 | 17 | 27 | .386 | 3794 | 4005 | −211 |
| 6 | Los Angeles Sparks |
44 | 16 | 28 | .364 | 3830 | 4018 | −188 |
| 7 |  Phoenix Mercury |
44 | 16 | 28 | .364 | 3712 | 3854 | −142 |
| 8 |  Seattle Storm |
44 | 8 | 36 | .182 | 3616 | 3913 | −297 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Los Angeles Sparks host Golden State Valkyries in the WNBA on Thursday, September 24, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.