Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat prediction
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Los Angeles Lakers
Miami HeatLos Angeles LakersMiami HeatTotal Margin Win
Los Angeles Lakers
Miami Heat
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat
Los Angeles Lakers
Miami Heat
Last 7 and 6 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Los Angeles Lakers 2, Miami Heat 0.
- Average total 255.0 points per meeting
- Over 237.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting LAL by 8 Mar 19, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 19, 2026 NBA Miami Heat 126–134 Los Angeles Lakers 260 pts
- Nov 2, 2025 NBA Los Angeles Lakers 130–120 Miami Heat 250 pts
Last five games
Los Angeles Lakers
3-2 - Nov 1: Los Angeles Lakers 131, Toronto Raptors 125. Won. Odds: Los Angeles Lakers 1.65, Toronto Raptors 2.29.
- Oct 30: Golden State Warriors 112, Los Angeles Lakers 95. Lost. Odds: Golden State Warriors 2.22, Los Angeles Lakers 1.69.
- Oct 28: Los Angeles Clippers 87, Los Angeles Lakers 103. Won. Odds: Los Angeles Clippers 1.89, Los Angeles Lakers 1.93.
- Oct 27: Los Angeles Lakers 129, Portland Trail Blazers 136. Lost. Odds: Los Angeles Lakers 1.83, Portland Trail Blazers 2.00.
- Oct 25: Utah Jazz 123, Los Angeles Lakers 132. Won. Odds: Utah Jazz 3.00, Los Angeles Lakers 1.41.
Miami Heat
2-3 - Oct 30: Miami Heat 145, Indiana Pacers 125. Won. Odds: Miami Heat 1.30, Indiana Pacers 3.65.
- Oct 28: Atlanta Hawks 117, Miami Heat 129. Won. Odds: Atlanta Hawks 1.68, Miami Heat 2.23.
- Oct 26: Miami Heat 109, Dallas Mavericks 113. Lost. Odds: Miami Heat 1.36, Dallas Mavericks 3.25.
- Oct 24: Charlotte Hornets 115, Miami Heat 110. Lost. Odds: Charlotte Hornets 2.39, Miami Heat 1.61.
- Oct 23: Miami Heat 111, Detroit Pistons 128. Lost. Odds: Miami Heat 2.04, Detroit Pistons 1.81.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Los Angeles Lakers, who played yesterday.
- Net rating difference of 6.3 — Los Angeles Lakers +4.5 per 100 possessions, Miami Heat −1.8.
- Different pace — Los Angeles Lakers averaged 101.1 possessions per game, Miami Heat 106.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LAL moneyline | 1.81 | moved down 1.76 |
| MIA moneyline | 1.97 | moved up 2.11 |
| Total points | 238.5 | moved down 237.5 |
| LAL spread | −1.5 | moved down −2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBA standings
Pre-season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Memphis Grizzlies |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 470 | 443 | +27 |
| 2 |  Utah Jazz |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 453 | 439 | +14 |
| 3 |  New Orleans Pelicans |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 442 | 441 | +1 |
| 4 |  Golden State Warriors |
6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 683 | 638 | +45 |
| 5 |  Houston Rockets |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 366 | 338 | +28 |
| 6 |  Portland Trail Blazers |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 351 | 344 | +7 |
| 7 |  Los Angeles Clippers |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 332 | 325 | +7 |
| 8 |  Denver Nuggets |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 578 | 571 | +7 |
| 9 |  Minnesota Timberwolves |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 697 | 709 | −12 |
| 10 |  San Antonio Spurs |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 572 | 544 | +28 |
| 11 | Los Angeles Lakers |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 534 | 559 | −25 |
| 12 |  Dallas Mavericks |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 457 | 486 | −29 |
| 13 |  Phoenix Suns |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 545 | 573 | −28 |
| 14 |  Oklahoma City Thunder |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 549 | 585 | −36 |
| 15 |  Sacramento Kings |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 514 | 588 | −74 |
Pre-season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boston Celtics |
4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 507 | 432 | +75 |
| 2 |  Atlanta Hawks |
5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 613 | 586 | +27 |
| 3 |  Brooklyn Nets |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 497 | 464 | +33 |
| 4 |  Orlando Magic |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 495 | 468 | +27 |
| 5 |  Detroit Pistons |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 474 | 452 | +22 |
| 6 |  Chicago Bulls |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 610 | 574 | +36 |
| 7 | Miami Heat |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 640 | 612 | +28 |
| 8 |  Washington Wizards |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 453 | 455 | −2 |
| 9 |  Toronto Raptors |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 612 | 584 | +28 |
| 10 |  Milwaukee Bucks |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 547 | 599 | −52 |
| 11 |  Cleveland Cavaliers |
3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 348 | 361 | −13 |
| 12 |  Indiana Pacers |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 479 | 473 | +6 |
| 13 |  Philadelphia 76ers |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 454 | 480 | −26 |
| 14 |  Charlotte Hornets |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 386 | 444 | −58 |
| 15 |  New York Knicks |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 530 | 621 | −91 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Los Angeles Lakers host Miami Heat in the NBA on Monday, November 2, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.