Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors prediction
Los Angeles Lakers
34
32
36
25
Golden State Warriors
33
19
16
37
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 71%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Los Angeles Lakers127114Golden State Warriors105110Los Angeles Lakers127114Golden State Warriors105110Total 224 Margin LAL by 4 Win LAL 60% Actual 232 · LAL won
Los Angeles Lakers
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Golden State Warriors
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors
Los Angeles Lakers
Golden State Warriors
Last 7 games each with full stats · all competitions
Los Angeles Lakers at home, last 4 games · Golden State Warriors away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Los Angeles Lakers 2, Golden State Warriors 3.
- Average total 214.2 points per meeting
- Over 233.5 0 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting GSW by 17 Oct 30, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 30, 2026 NBA Golden State Warriors 112–95 Los Angeles Lakers 207 pts
- Oct 13, 2026 NBA Los Angeles Lakers 89–101 Golden State Warriors 190 pts
- Oct 6, 2026 NBA Golden State Warriors 124–98 Los Angeles Lakers 222 pts
- Apr 9, 2026 NBA Golden State Warriors 103–119 Los Angeles Lakers 222 pts
- Feb 28, 2026 NBA Golden State Warriors 101–129 Los Angeles Lakers 230 pts
Last five games
Los Angeles Lakers
2-3 - Oct 16: Los Angeles Lakers 106, Denver Nuggets 121. Lost. Odds: Los Angeles Lakers 1.61, Denver Nuggets 2.17.
- Oct 13: Los Angeles Lakers 89, Golden State Warriors 101. Lost. Odds: Los Angeles Lakers 2.08, Golden State Warriors 1.70.
- Oct 8: Los Angeles Lakers 114, Sacramento Kings 110. Won. Odds: Los Angeles Lakers 1.23, Sacramento Kings 3.75.
- Oct 6: Golden State Warriors 124, Los Angeles Lakers 98. Lost. Odds: Golden State Warriors 1.37, Los Angeles Lakers 3.00.
- Oct 5: Sacramento Kings 103, Los Angeles Lakers 127. Won. Odds: Sacramento Kings 2.28, Los Angeles Lakers 1.58.
Golden State Warriors
4-1 - Oct 16: Golden State Warriors 128, Portland Trail Blazers 118. Won. Odds: Golden State Warriors 2.04, Portland Trail Blazers 1.69.
- Oct 13: Los Angeles Lakers 89, Golden State Warriors 101. Won. Odds: Los Angeles Lakers 2.08, Golden State Warriors 1.70.
- Oct 10: Golden State Warriors 111, Sacramento Kings 106. Won. Odds: Golden State Warriors 1.39, Sacramento Kings 2.84.
- Oct 7: Portland Trail Blazers 123, Golden State Warriors 118. Lost. Odds: Portland Trail Blazers 1.14, Golden State Warriors 5.19.
- Oct 6: Golden State Warriors 124, Los Angeles Lakers 98. Won. Odds: Golden State Warriors 1.37, Los Angeles Lakers 3.00.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Golden State Warriors coming into this game.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Golden State Warriors.
- 214.2 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 233.5.
- 11th vs 4th in the NBA standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LAL moneyline | 1.53 | moved down 1.43 |
| GSW moneyline | 2.47 | moved up 2.85 |
| Total points | 234.5 | moved down 233.5 |
| LAL spread | −5.5 | moved down −7.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBA standings
Pre-season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Memphis Grizzlies |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 470 | 443 | +27 |
| 2 |  Utah Jazz |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 453 | 439 | +14 |
| 3 |  New Orleans Pelicans |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 442 | 441 | +1 |
| 4 | Golden State Warriors |
6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 683 | 638 | +45 |
| 5 |  Houston Rockets |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 366 | 338 | +28 |
| 6 |  Portland Trail Blazers |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 351 | 344 | +7 |
| 7 |  Los Angeles Clippers |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 332 | 325 | +7 |
| 8 |  Denver Nuggets |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 578 | 571 | +7 |
| 9 |  Minnesota Timberwolves |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 697 | 709 | −12 |
| 10 |  San Antonio Spurs |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 572 | 544 | +28 |
| 11 | Los Angeles Lakers |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 534 | 559 | −25 |
| 12 |  Dallas Mavericks |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 457 | 486 | −29 |
| 13 |  Phoenix Suns |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 545 | 573 | −28 |
| 14 |  Oklahoma City Thunder |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 549 | 585 | −36 |
| 15 |  Sacramento Kings |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 514 | 588 | −74 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Los Angeles Lakers host Golden State Warriors in the NBA on Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.