Los Angeles Clippers vs Golden State Warriors prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 74%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 225 Margin LAC by 5 Win LAC 62% Actual 205 · LAC won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Los Angeles Clippers vs Golden State Warriors
Last 6 and 7 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Los Angeles Clippers 3, Golden State Warriors 2.
- Average total 225.6 points per meeting
- Over 222.5 3 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting GSW by 12 Nov 1, 2026
Meetings
- Nov 1, 2026 NBA Golden State Warriors 124–112 Los Angeles Clippers 236 pts
- Apr 15, 2026 NBA Los Angeles Clippers 121–126 Golden State Warriors 247 pts
- Apr 12, 2026 NBA Los Angeles Clippers 115–110 Golden State Warriors 225 pts
- Mar 2, 2026 NBA Golden State Warriors 101–114 Los Angeles Clippers 215 pts
- Jan 5, 2026 NBA Los Angeles Clippers 103–102 Golden State Warriors 205 pts
Last five games
- Apr 15: Los Angeles Clippers 121, Golden State Warriors 126. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 12: Los Angeles Clippers 115, Golden State Warriors 110. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 10: Portland Trail Blazers 116, Los Angeles Clippers 97. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 8: Los Angeles Clippers 110, Oklahoma City Thunder 128. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 7: Los Angeles Clippers 116, Dallas Mavericks 103. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 17: Phoenix Suns 111, Golden State Warriors 96. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 15: Los Angeles Clippers 121, Golden State Warriors 126. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 12: Los Angeles Clippers 115, Golden State Warriors 110. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 10: Sacramento Kings 124, Golden State Warriors 118. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 9: Golden State Warriors 103, Los Angeles Lakers 119. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Net rating difference of 12.3 — Los Angeles Clippers −8.3 per 100 possessions, Golden State Warriors +4.0.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Los Angeles Clippers.
- 1-4 in the last five for Golden State Warriors.
- 225.6 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 222.5.
- 7th vs 4th in the NBA standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LAC moneyline | 2.16 | moved down 2.15 |
| GSW moneyline | 1.66 | moved up 1.74 |
| Total points | 223.5 | moved down 222.5 |
| LAC spread | +3.5 | +3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBA standings
Pre-season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 470 | 443 | +27 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 453 | 439 | +14 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 442 | 441 | +1 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 683 | 638 | +45 | |
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 366 | 338 | +28 | |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 351 | 344 | +7 | |
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 332 | 325 | +7 | |
| 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 578 | 571 | +7 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 697 | 709 | −12 | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 572 | 544 | +28 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 534 | 559 | −25 | |
| 12 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 457 | 486 | −29 | |
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 545 | 573 | −28 | |
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 549 | 585 | −36 | |
| 15 | 5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 514 | 588 | −74 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Los Angeles Clippers host Golden State Warriors in the NBA on Sunday, October 4, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.