London Lions vs Leicester Riders prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 72%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 169 Margin LEI by 3 Win LEI 57% Actual 137 · LON won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
London Lions vs Leicester Riders
Last 13 and 7 games with full stats · all competitions
London Lions at home, last 9 games · Leicester Riders away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: London Lions 5, Leicester Riders 0.
- Average total 157.0 points per meeting
- Over 163.5 1 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting LON by 13 May 10, 2026
Meetings
- May 10, 2026 SLB London Lions 78–65 Leicester Riders 143 pts
- May 7, 2026 SLB Leicester Riders 70–89 London Lions 159 pts
- Feb 20, 2026 SLB London Lions 95–78 Leicester Riders 173 pts
- Dec 27, 2025 SLB Leicester Riders 75–83 London Lions 158 pts
- Nov 2, 2025 SLB London Lions 82–70 Leicester Riders 152 pts
Last five games
- Sep 30: Siauliai 74, London Lions 71. Lost. Odds: Siauliai 2.75, London Lions 1.42.
- Sep 27: London Lions 78, Liverpool 49. Won. Odds: London Lions 1.02, Liverpool 9.50.
- Sep 23: London Lions 91, Cheshire Phoenix 81. Won. Odds: London Lions 1.11, Cheshire Phoenix 5.30.
- Sep 20: London Lions 84, Newcastle Eagles 76. Won. Odds: London Lions 1.04, Newcastle Eagles 8.60.
- Sep 18: Bristol Flyers 78, London Lions 80. Won. Odds: Bristol Flyers 5.80, London Lions 1.09.
- Sep 27: Cheshire Phoenix 108, Leicester Riders 94. Lost. Odds: Cheshire Phoenix 1.48, Leicester Riders 2.52.
- May 10: London Lions 78, Leicester Riders 65. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 7: Leicester Riders 70, London Lions 89. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 3: Sheffield Sharks 87, Leicester Riders 97. Won. No odds on record.
- May 1: Leicester Riders 78, Sheffield Sharks 81. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Leicester Riders coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for Leicester Riders, 1 for London Lions.
- 6-0 at home for London Lions this season.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for London Lions.
- Net rating difference of 24.0 — London Lions +12.1 per 100 possessions, Leicester Riders −11.9.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LON moneyline | 1.05 | moved up 1.07 |
| LEI moneyline | 7.00 | moved down 6.25 |
| Total points | 163.5 | 163.5 |
| LON spread | −16.5 | −16.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
SLB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 16 | 658 | 585 | +73 | |
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 683 | 593 | +90 | |
| 3 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 641 | 646 | −5 | |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 632 | 654 | −22 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 402 | 433 | −31 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 500 | 486 | +14 | |
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 677 | 679 | −2 | |
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 554 | 575 | −21 | |
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 486 | 520 | −34 | |
| 10 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 577 | 639 | −62 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
London Lions host Leicester Riders in the SLB on Friday, October 2, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.