Lobos Plateados vs Freseros Prediction & Odds — Oct 12

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LNBP Monday, October 12, 2026Mon, Oct 12 Start22:00ET

Lobos PlateadosHome · 18-10 · 5th · 1.07

7519122816

FreserosAway · 9-19 · 13th · 7.00

631721169

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Lobos Plateados 19 12 28 16

Freseros 17 21 16 9

FT Arena BUAP · MexicoArena BUAP

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

LOB -4.5 1.29 85%

Lobos Plateados −4.5 on the spread edge +1.7%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won LOB -4.5 1.29 Lobos Plateados −4.5 on the spread Confidence85% model 71.7% · market 70.0% edge +1.7%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 77%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.06 81.0% 80.3% +0.7% 85% Won

Total points U177.5 1.87 66.0% 64.7% +1.3% 61% Won

Point spread LOB -4.5 1.29 71.7% 70.0% +1.7% 85% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Lobos Plateados7592

Freseros6378

Total 170 actual 138

Winning margin LOB by 14 actual LOB by 12

Chance to win LOB 81% LOB won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Lobos Plateados7592

Freseros6378

Total 170 Margin LOB by 14 Win LOB 81% Actual 138 · LOB won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 19+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Lobos Plateados large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Freseros

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Lobos Plateados vs Freseros

Lobos Plateados Freseros

Last 30 and 26 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Lobos Plateados 4-1

Oct 11: Lobos Plateados 105, Freseros 86. Won. Odds: Lobos Plateados 1.11, Freseros 5.55.
Oct 7: El Calor de Cancun 77, Lobos Plateados 90. Won. Odds: El Calor de Cancun 2.05, Lobos Plateados 1.70.
Oct 6: El Calor de Cancun 77, Lobos Plateados 68. Lost. Odds: El Calor de Cancun 2.25, Lobos Plateados 1.55.
Oct 2: Correcaminos 85, Lobos Plateados 90. After overtime. Won. Odds: Correcaminos 3.25, Lobos Plateados 1.28.
Oct 1: Correcaminos 75, Lobos Plateados 97. Won. Odds: Correcaminos 3.85, Lobos Plateados 1.22.

Freseros 0-5

Oct 11: Lobos Plateados 105, Freseros 86. Lost. Odds: Lobos Plateados 1.11, Freseros 5.55.
Oct 7: Freseros 77, Dorados 105. Lost. Odds: Freseros 3.85, Dorados 1.22.
Oct 6: Freseros 85, Dorados 105. Lost. Odds: Freseros 2.20, Dorados 1.57.
Oct 2: Santos 108, Freseros 87. Lost. Odds: Santos 1.55, Freseros 2.25.
Oct 1: Santos 96, Freseros 81. Lost. Odds: Santos 1.57, Freseros 2.25.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
LOB moneyline	1.16	moved down 1.07
FRE moneyline	4.65	moved up 7.00
Total points	170.5	moved up 177.5
LOB spread	−11.5	moved down −16.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

LNBP standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Soles	28	21	7	49	2382	2090	+292
2	Astros	28	20	8	48	2473	2246	+227
3	Fuerza Regia	28	19	9	47	2512	2381	+131
4	Panteras	28	19	9	47	2477	2379	+98
5	Lobos Plateados	28	18	10	46	2366	2251	+115
6	Dorados	28	17	11	45	2409	2368	+41
7	Mineros	28	15	13	43	2411	2371	+40
8	Abejas	28	12	16	40	2389	2392	−3
9	Diablos Rojos	28	11	17	39	2293	2370	−77
10	Gambusinos	28	11	17	39	2233	2327	−94
11	Santos	28	11	17	39	2367	2497	−130
12	El Calor de Cancun	28	9	19	37	2276	2384	−108
13	Freseros	28	9	19	37	2379	2586	−207
14	Correcaminos	28	4	24	32	2309	2634	−325

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Lobos Plateados host Freseros in the LNBP on Monday, October 12, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.