Lobos Plateados vs Freseros prediction
Lobos Plateados
23
25
26
31
Freseros
19
21
20
26
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 77%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Lobos Plateados10592Freseros8678Lobos Plateados10592Freseros8678Total 170 Margin LOB by 14 Win LOB 81% Actual 191 · LOB won
Lobos Plateados
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Freseros
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Lobos Plateados vs Freseros
Lobos Plateados
Freseros
Last 30 and 26 games with full stats · all competitions
Lobos Plateados at home, last 15 games · Freseros away, last 13
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Lobos Plateados 1, Freseros 2.
- Average total 155.7 points per meeting
- Over 175.5 1 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting LOB by 12 Oct 12, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 12, 2026 LNBP Lobos Plateados 75–63 Freseros 138 pts
- Sep 11, 2026 LNBP Lobos Plateados 86–90 Freseros 176 pts
- Sep 10, 2026 LNBP Lobos Plateados 71–82 Freseros 153 pts
Last five games
Lobos Plateados
3-2 - Oct 7: El Calor de Cancun 77, Lobos Plateados 90. Won. Odds: El Calor de Cancun 2.05, Lobos Plateados 1.70.
- Oct 6: El Calor de Cancun 77, Lobos Plateados 68. Lost. Odds: El Calor de Cancun 2.25, Lobos Plateados 1.55.
- Oct 2: Correcaminos 85, Lobos Plateados 90. After overtime. Won. Odds: Correcaminos 3.25, Lobos Plateados 1.28.
- Oct 1: Correcaminos 75, Lobos Plateados 97. Won. Odds: Correcaminos 3.85, Lobos Plateados 1.22.
- Sep 27: Lobos Plateados 81, Mineros 84. Lost. Odds: Lobos Plateados 1.62, Mineros 2.10.
Freseros
0-5 - Oct 7: Freseros 77, Dorados 105. Lost. Odds: Freseros 3.85, Dorados 1.22.
- Oct 6: Freseros 85, Dorados 105. Lost. Odds: Freseros 2.20, Dorados 1.57.
- Oct 2: Santos 108, Freseros 87. Lost. Odds: Santos 1.55, Freseros 2.25.
- Oct 1: Santos 96, Freseros 81. Lost. Odds: Santos 1.57, Freseros 2.25.
- Sep 26: Freseros 88, Panteras 97. Lost. Odds: Freseros 1.95, Panteras 1.72.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 6-game losing streak for Freseros coming into this game.
- Over/under moved up from 170.5 to 175.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 19.0 — Lobos Plateados +6.7 per 100 possessions, Freseros −12.3.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Freseros.
- 155.7 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 175.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LOB moneyline | 1.11 | 1.11 |
| FRE moneyline | 6.00 | moved down 5.55 |
| Total points | 170.5 | moved up 175.5 |
| LOB spread | −12.5 | moved up −11.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LNBP standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Soles |
28 | 21 | 7 | 49 | 2382 | 2090 | +292 |
| 2 |  Astros |
28 | 20 | 8 | 48 | 2473 | 2246 | +227 |
| 3 |  Fuerza Regia |
28 | 19 | 9 | 47 | 2512 | 2381 | +131 |
| 4 |  Panteras |
28 | 19 | 9 | 47 | 2477 | 2379 | +98 |
| 5 | Lobos Plateados |
28 | 18 | 10 | 46 | 2366 | 2251 | +115 |
| 6 |  Dorados |
28 | 17 | 11 | 45 | 2409 | 2368 | +41 |
| 7 |  Mineros |
28 | 15 | 13 | 43 | 2411 | 2371 | +40 |
| 8 |  Abejas |
28 | 12 | 16 | 40 | 2389 | 2392 | −3 |
| 9 |  Diablos Rojos |
28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2293 | 2370 | −77 |
| 10 |  Gambusinos |
28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2233 | 2327 | −94 |
| 11 |  Santos |
28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2367 | 2497 | −130 |
| 12 |  El Calor de Cancun |
28 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 2276 | 2384 | −108 |
| 13 | Freseros |
28 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 2379 | 2586 | −207 |
| 14 |  Correcaminos |
28 | 4 | 24 | 32 | 2309 | 2634 | −325 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Lobos Plateados host Freseros in the LNBP on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.