Lietkabelis vs Neptunas prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 75%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 162 Win LIE 53% Actual 178 · LIE won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Lietkabelis vs Neptunas
Last 13 games each with full stats · all competitions
Lietkabelis at home, last 7 games · Neptunas away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Lietkabelis 2, Neptunas 3.
- Average total 154.4 points per meeting
- Over 163.5 1 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting NEP by 9 Jun 13, 2026
Meetings
- Jun 13, 2026 LKL Lietkabelis 82–91 Neptunas 173 pts
- Jun 11, 2026 LKL Neptunas 66–63 Lietkabelis 129 pts
- Jun 8, 2026 LKL Lietkabelis 80–68 Neptunas 148 pts
- Jun 6, 2026 LKL Neptunas 86–73 Lietkabelis 159 pts
- Apr 26, 2026 LKL Lietkabelis 83–80 Neptunas 163 pts
Last five games
- Oct 27: Lietkabelis 68, Ulm 86. Lost. Odds: Lietkabelis 1.45, Ulm 2.60.
- Oct 24: Gargzdai 83, Lietkabelis 80. Lost. Odds: Gargzdai 1.65, Lietkabelis 2.02.
- Oct 20: Balkan 57, Lietkabelis 64. Won. Odds: Balkan 2.35, Lietkabelis 1.54.
- Oct 17: Nevezis 72, Lietkabelis 73. Won. Odds: Nevezis 2.15, Lietkabelis 1.44.
- Oct 13: Lietkabelis 95, PAOK 86. Won. Odds: Lietkabelis 4.11, PAOK 1.21.
- Oct 28: Neptunas 85, Basket Napoli 94. Lost. Odds: Neptunas 2.60, Basket Napoli 1.46.
- Oct 25: Neptunas 110, Siauliai 88. Won. Odds: Neptunas 1.42, Siauliai 2.45.
- Oct 20: Buducnost 104, Neptunas 89. Lost. Odds: Buducnost 1.14, Neptunas 5.00.
- Oct 17: Jonava 83, Neptunas 84. Won. Odds: Jonava 3.10, Neptunas 1.33.
- Oct 13: Neptunas 93, JL Bourg 89. Won. Odds: Neptunas 2.14, JL Bourg 1.68.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Neptunas dropped from 1.84 to 1.60 since they were first published.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Neptunas.
- 154.4 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 163.5.
- 4th vs 5th in the LKL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LIE moneyline | 1.90 | moved up 2.08 |
| NEP moneyline | 1.84 | moved down 1.60 |
| Total points | 164.5 | moved down 163.5 |
| LIE spread | +1.5 | moved up +2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1.000 | 651 | 511 | +140 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 456 | 417 | +39 | |
| 3 | Gargzdai | 7 | 5 | 2 | .714 | 634 | 619 | +15 |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | .500 | 631 | 649 | −18 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | .500 | 685 | 682 | +3 | |
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 4 | .429 | 549 | 556 | −7 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 682 | 698 | −16 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 666 | 698 | −32 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 651 | 702 | −51 | |
| 10 | 6 | 0 | 6 | .000 | 428 | 501 | −73 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Lietkabelis host Neptunas in the LKL on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.