Lietkabelis vs Jonava prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 68%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 157 Margin LIE by 9 Win LIE 74% Actual 136 · JON won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Lietkabelis vs Jonava
Last 13 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions
Lietkabelis at home, last 7 games · Jonava away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Lietkabelis 3, Jonava 1.
- Average total 165.8 points per meeting
- Over 165.5 3 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting JON by 2 Apr 29, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 29, 2026 LKL Jonava 69–67 Lietkabelis 136 pts
- Mar 15, 2026 LKL Lietkabelis 91–80 Jonava 171 pts
- Nov 16, 2025 LKL Jonava 85–96 Lietkabelis 181 pts
- Sep 23, 2025 LKL Lietkabelis 101–74 Jonava 175 pts
Last five games
- Oct 7: BC Roma 92, Lietkabelis 87. Lost. Odds: BC Roma 1.15, Lietkabelis 5.00.
- Oct 4: Zalgiris Kaunas 97, Lietkabelis 68. Lost. Odds: Zalgiris Kaunas 1.06, Lietkabelis 6.47.
- Sep 30: Lietkabelis 75, KK Bosna 72. Won. Odds: Lietkabelis 1.69, KK Bosna 2.13.
- Sep 26: Lietkabelis 85, Taurage 79. Won. Odds: Lietkabelis 1.52, Taurage 2.25.
- Sep 23: Siauliai 86, Lietkabelis 77. Lost. Odds: Siauliai 1.55, Lietkabelis 2.19.
- Oct 3: Jonava 63, Siauliai 79. Lost. Odds: Jonava 2.22, Siauliai 1.53.
- Sep 27: Jonava 71, Tindastoll 79. Lost. Odds: Jonava 1.26, Tindastoll 3.53.
- Sep 22: Jonava 85, Nevezis 65. Won. Odds: Jonava 1.57, Nevezis 2.20.
- Sep 19: Taurage 95, Jonava 90. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Taurage 1.44, Jonava 2.42.
- May 22: Jonava 75, Zalgiris Kaunas 90. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Jonava, 2 for Lietkabelis.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Lietkabelis.
- 1-4 in the last five for Jonava.
- 165.8 points per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 165.5.
- 4th vs 6th in the LKL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LIE moneyline | 1.19 | moved up 1.20 |
| JON moneyline | 4.30 | moved down 3.70 |
| Total points | 164.5 | moved up 165.5 |
| LIE spread | −8.5 | moved down −9.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1.000 | 651 | 511 | +140 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 456 | 417 | +39 | |
| 3 | Gargzdai | 7 | 5 | 2 | .714 | 634 | 619 | +15 |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | .500 | 631 | 649 | −18 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | .500 | 685 | 682 | +3 | |
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 4 | .429 | 549 | 556 | −7 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 682 | 698 | −16 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 666 | 698 | −32 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 651 | 702 | −51 | |
| 10 | 6 | 0 | 6 | .000 | 428 | 501 | −73 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Lietkabelis host Jonava in the LKL on Saturday, October 10, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.