Libertas Livorno vs Urania Milano prediction
Libertas Livorno
23
13
28
23
Urania Milano
19
16
19
18
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 88%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Libertas Livorno8787Urania Milano7276Libertas Livorno8787Urania Milano7276Total 163 Margin LIB by 11 Win LIB 76% Actual 159 · LIB won
Libertas Livorno
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Urania Milano
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Libertas Livorno vs Urania Milano
Libertas Livorno
Urania Milano
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Libertas Livorno 2, Urania Milano 1.
- Average total 161.0 points per meeting
- Over 153.5 2 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting LIB by 18 Apr 29, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 29, 2026 Serie A2 Libertas Livorno 102–84 Urania Milano 186 pts
- Feb 22, 2026 Serie A2 Urania Milano 73–66 Libertas Livorno 139 pts
- Oct 29, 2025 Serie A2 Libertas Livorno 98–60 Urania Milano 158 pts
Last five games
Libertas Livorno
4-1 - Oct 11: JuVi Cremona 73, Libertas Livorno 75. Won. Odds: JuVi Cremona 2.42, Libertas Livorno 1.50.
- Oct 3: Mestre 49, Libertas Livorno 88. Won. Odds: Mestre 2.05, Libertas Livorno 1.70.
- Sep 27: Libertas Livorno 63, Pistoia 62. Won. Odds: Libertas Livorno 1.22, Pistoia 3.90.
- May 3: Rimini 95, Libertas Livorno 90. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 29: Libertas Livorno 102, Urania Milano 84. Won. No odds on record.
Urania Milano
0-5 - Oct 10: Urania Milano 88, Ruvo Di Puglia 96. Lost. Odds: Urania Milano 1.27, Ruvo Di Puglia 3.21.
- Oct 4: Brindisi 84, Urania Milano 81. Lost. Odds: Brindisi 1.24, Urania Milano 3.70.
- Sep 27: Urania Milano 68, Sassari 70. Lost. Odds: Urania Milano 1.72, Sassari 1.95.
- Apr 29: Libertas Livorno 102, Urania Milano 84. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 26: Verona 95, Urania Milano 74. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-game losing streak for Urania Milano coming into this game.
- 3-game winning streak for Libertas Livorno coming into this game.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Libertas Livorno.
- 161.0 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 153.5.
- 1st vs 19th in the Serie A2 standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LIB moneyline | 1.17 | moved down 1.13 |
| URA moneyline | 4.10 | moved up 4.67 |
| Total points | 154.5 | moved down 153.5 |
| LIB spread | −10.5 | −10.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Serie A2 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libertas Livorno |
6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 490 | 402 | +88 |
| 2 |  Avellino Basket |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 486 | 441 | +45 |
| 3 |  Pesaro |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 499 | 459 | +40 |
| 4 |  Rimini |
7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 578 | 497 | +81 |
| 5 |  Basket Torino |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 375 | 367 | +8 |
| 6 |  Fortitudo Bologna |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 488 | 464 | +24 |
| 7 |  Sebastiani Rieti |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 452 | 459 | −7 |
| 8 |  Brindisi |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 536 | 513 | +23 |
| 9 |  Pistoia |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 469 | 419 | +50 |
| 10 |  Forli |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 500 | 477 | +23 |
| 11 |  Sassari |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 437 | 456 | −19 |
| 12 |  Cividale |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 495 | 521 | −26 |
| 13 |  Caserta |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 404 | 406 | −2 |
| 14 |  Ruvo Di Puglia |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 475 | 506 | −31 |
| 15 |  Vigevano |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 463 | 512 | −49 |
| 16 |  Mestre |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 511 | 534 | −23 |
| 17 |  Cento |
7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 515 | 585 | −70 |
| 18 |  Montecatini |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 432 | 505 | −73 |
| 19 | Urania Milano |
7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 530 | 572 | −42 |
| 20 |  JuVi Cremona |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 449 | 489 | −40 |
- Lega A
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in: Final
- Play-in: Semi-finals
- Play Out
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Libertas Livorno host Urania Milano in the Serie A2 on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.