Libertas Livorno vs Pistoia Prediction & Odds

Serie A2 Sunday, September 27, 2026Sun, Sep 27 Start12:00ET Round 1

Libertas LivornoHome · 6-0 · 1st · 1.22

6319181115

PistoiaAway · 3-3 · 9th · 3.90

6216181513

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Libertas Livorno 19 18 11 15

Pistoia 16 18 15 13

FT Modigliani Forum · ItalyModigliani Forum · Round 1

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 1.22 89%

Libertas Livorno to win edge −6.7%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 1.22 Libertas Livorno to win Confidence89% model 74.0% · market 80.7% edge −6.7%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 79%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.22 74.0% 80.7% −6.7% 89% Won

Total points O156.5 1.83 69.7% 50.0% +19.7% 73% Lost

Point spread LIB -8.5 1.83 62.1% 50.0% +12.1% 74% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Libertas Livorno6389

Pistoia6276

Total 165 actual 125

Winning margin LIB by 13 actual LIB by 1

Chance to win LIB 84% LIB won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Libertas Livorno6389

Pistoia6276

Total 165 Margin LIB by 13 Win LIB 84% Actual 125 · LIB won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 16+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Libertas Livorno large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Pistoia

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Libertas Livorno vs Pistoia

Libertas Livorno Pistoia

Last five games

Libertas Livorno 3-2

May 3: Rimini 95, Libertas Livorno 90. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 29: Libertas Livorno 102, Urania Milano 84. Won. No odds on record.
Apr 26: Libertas Livorno 84, Pesaro 75. Won. No odds on record.
Apr 18: Mestre 82, Libertas Livorno 90. Won. No odds on record.
Apr 12: Forli 91, Libertas Livorno 86. Lost. No odds on record.

Pistoia 3-2

May 13: Ruvo Di Puglia 78, Pistoia 80. Won. No odds on record.
May 10: Pistoia 81, Ruvo Di Puglia 88. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
May 8: Pistoia 79, Ruvo Di Puglia 78. Won. No odds on record.
May 5: Ruvo Di Puglia 90, Pistoia 97. Won. No odds on record.
May 3: Ruvo Di Puglia 100, Pistoia 85. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
LIB moneyline	1.11	moved up 1.22
PIS moneyline	5.80	moved down 3.90
Total points	156.5	moved down 155.5
LIB spread	−8.5	−8.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Serie A2 standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Libertas Livorno	6	6	0	12	490	402	+88
2	Avellino Basket	6	5	1	11	486	441	+45
3	Pesaro	6	5	1	11	499	459	+40
4	Rimini	7	5	2	12	578	497	+81
5	Basket Torino	5	4	1	9	375	367	+8
6	Fortitudo Bologna	6	4	2	10	488	464	+24
7	Sebastiani Rieti	6	4	2	10	452	459	−7
8	Brindisi	7	4	3	11	536	513	+23
9	Pistoia	6	3	3	9	469	419	+50
10	Forli	6	3	3	9	500	477	+23
11	Sassari	6	3	3	9	437	456	−19
12	Cividale	7	3	4	10	495	521	−26
13	Caserta	5	2	3	7	404	406	−2
14	Ruvo Di Puglia	6	2	4	8	475	506	−31
15	Vigevano	6	2	4	8	463	512	−49
16	Mestre	7	3	4	10	511	534	−23
17	Cento	7	2	5	9	515	585	−70
18	Montecatini	6	1	5	7	432	505	−73
19	Urania Milano	7	1	6	8	530	572	−42
20	JuVi Cremona	6	0	6	6	449	489	−40

Lega A
Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Play-in: Final
Play-in: Semi-finals
Play Out
Relegation

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Libertas Livorno host Pistoia in the Serie A2 on Sunday, September 27, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.