Libertas Livorno vs Fortitudo Bologna prediction
Libertas Livorno
17
27
25
16
Fortitudo Bologna
16
17
11
15
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 85%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Libertas Livorno8579Fortitudo Bologna5973Libertas Livorno8579Fortitudo Bologna5973Total 152 Margin LIB by 6 Win LIB 67% Actual 144 · LIB won
Libertas Livorno
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Fortitudo Bologna
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Libertas Livorno vs Fortitudo Bologna
Libertas Livorno
Fortitudo Bologna
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Libertas Livorno 1, Fortitudo Bologna 1.
- Average total 147.0 points per meeting
- Over 150.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting LIB by 18 Mar 6, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 6, 2026 Serie A2 Libertas Livorno 91–73 Fortitudo Bologna 164 pts
- Dec 7, 2025 Serie A2 Fortitudo Bologna 66–64 Libertas Livorno 130 pts
Last five games
Libertas Livorno
4-1 - Oct 17: Libertas Livorno 87, Urania Milano 72. Won. Odds: Libertas Livorno 1.13, Urania Milano 4.67.
- Oct 11: JuVi Cremona 73, Libertas Livorno 75. Won. Odds: JuVi Cremona 2.42, Libertas Livorno 1.50.
- Oct 3: Mestre 49, Libertas Livorno 88. Won. Odds: Mestre 2.05, Libertas Livorno 1.70.
- Sep 27: Libertas Livorno 63, Pistoia 62. Won. Odds: Libertas Livorno 1.22, Pistoia 3.90.
- May 3: Rimini 95, Libertas Livorno 90. Lost. No odds on record.
Fortitudo Bologna
4-1 - Oct 17: Fortitudo Bologna 91, Montecatini 69. Won. Odds: Fortitudo Bologna 1.05, Montecatini 6.80.
- Oct 11: Fortitudo Bologna 78, Rimini 66. Won. Odds: Fortitudo Bologna 1.38, Rimini 2.80.
- Oct 4: Caserta 81, Fortitudo Bologna 83. Won. Odds: Caserta 2.95, Fortitudo Bologna 1.35.
- Sep 27: Fortitudo Bologna 92, Ruvo Di Puglia 70. Won. Odds: Fortitudo Bologna 1.09, Ruvo Di Puglia 6.10.
- May 25: Verona 86, Fortitudo Bologna 73. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Libertas Livorno coming into this game.
- 4-game winning streak for Fortitudo Bologna coming into this game.
- 1st vs 6th in the Serie A2 standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LIB moneyline | 1.56 | 1.56 |
| FOR moneyline | 2.30 | 2.30 |
| Total points | 151.5 | moved down 150.5 |
| LIB spread | −3.5 | −3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Serie A2 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libertas Livorno |
6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 490 | 402 | +88 |
| 2 |  Avellino Basket |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 486 | 441 | +45 |
| 3 |  Pesaro |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 499 | 459 | +40 |
| 4 |  Rimini |
7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 578 | 497 | +81 |
| 5 |  Basket Torino |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 375 | 367 | +8 |
| 6 | Fortitudo Bologna |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 488 | 464 | +24 |
| 7 |  Sebastiani Rieti |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 452 | 459 | −7 |
| 8 |  Brindisi |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 536 | 513 | +23 |
| 9 |  Pistoia |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 469 | 419 | +50 |
| 10 |  Forli |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 500 | 477 | +23 |
| 11 |  Sassari |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 437 | 456 | −19 |
| 12 |  Cividale |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 495 | 521 | −26 |
| 13 |  Caserta |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 404 | 406 | −2 |
| 14 |  Ruvo Di Puglia |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 475 | 506 | −31 |
| 15 |  Vigevano |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 463 | 512 | −49 |
| 16 |  Mestre |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 511 | 534 | −23 |
| 17 |  Cento |
7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 515 | 585 | −70 |
| 18 |  Montecatini |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 432 | 505 | −73 |
| 19 |  Urania Milano |
7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 530 | 572 | −42 |
| 20 |  JuVi Cremona |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 449 | 489 | −40 |
- Lega A
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in: Final
- Play-in: Semi-finals
- Play Out
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Libertas Livorno host Fortitudo Bologna in the Serie A2 on Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.