Liaoning vs Xinjiang Prediction & Odds — Oct 25

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CBA Sunday, October 25, 2026Sun, Oct 25 Start07:35ET Round 4

LiaoningHome · 6-1 · 3rd · 1.31

9830252221

XinjiangAway · 3-4 · 13th · 3.20

8725252215

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Liaoning 30 25 22 21

Xinjiang 25 25 22 15

FT Liaoning Gymnasium · ChinaLiaoning Gymnasium · Round 4

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 1.31 84%

Liaoning to win edge +0.7%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 1.31 Liaoning to win Confidence84% model 67.0% · market 66.3% edge +0.7%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 73%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.31 67.0% 66.3% +0.7% 84% Won

Total points U187.5 1.60 66.4% 62.7% +3.7% 83% Won

Point spread XIN +9.5 1.62 50.1% 55.6% −5.5% 51% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Liaoning9893

Xinjiang8786

Total 179 actual 185

Winning margin LIA by 7 actual LIA by 11

Chance to win LIA 67% LIA won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Liaoning9893

Xinjiang8786

Total 179 Margin LIA by 7 Win LIA 67% Actual 185 · LIA won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 20+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Liaoning large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Xinjiang

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Other

Shooting

Liaoning vs Xinjiang

Liaoning Xinjiang

Last 7 games each with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Liaoning 3-2

Oct 23: Liaoning 104, Sichuan 93. Won. Odds: Liaoning 1.02, Sichuan 10.50.
Oct 21: Qingdao 93, Liaoning 97. Won. Odds: Qingdao 1.25, Liaoning 3.70.
Oct 18: Shandong 84, Liaoning 95. Won. Odds: Shandong 1.47, Liaoning 2.10.
May 3: Shandong 98, Liaoning 82. Lost. No odds on record.
May 1: Liaoning 86, Shandong 102. Lost. No odds on record.

Xinjiang 3-2

Oct 22: Jilin 89, Xinjiang 83. Lost. Odds: Jilin 3.10, Xinjiang 1.33.
Oct 20: Xinjiang 107, Tianjin 92. Won. Odds: Xinjiang 1.06, Tianjin 8.25.
Oct 17: Xinjiang 82, Qingdao 80. Won. Odds: Xinjiang 2.02, Qingdao 1.50.
Apr 24: Qingdao 94, Xinjiang 84. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 19: Xinjiang 109, Nanjing Tongxi 75. Won. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
LIA moneyline	1.40	moved down 1.31
XIN moneyline	2.75	moved up 3.20
Total points	180.5	moved up 183.5
LIA spread	−7.5	−7.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

CBA standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Beijing	7	7	0	14	739	549	+190
2	Shanghai	7	6	1	13	680	604	+76
3	Liaoning	7	6	1	13	676	609	+67
4	Beijing Royal Fighters	7	5	2	12	694	567	+127
5	Shanxi Zhongyu	7	5	2	12	707	636	+71
6	Zhejiang Chouzhou	7	5	2	12	579	519	+60
7	Zhejiang Guangsha	7	4	3	11	634	671	−37
8	Guangzhou	7	4	3	11	637	661	−24
9	Fujian	7	4	3	11	642	618	+24
10	Shandong	7	3	4	10	637	655	−18
11	Jilin	7	3	4	10	586	587	−1
12	Shenzhen	7	3	4	10	537	661	−124
13	Xinjiang	7	3	4	10	602	629	−27
14	Guangdong	7	3	4	10	600	611	−11
15	Qingdao	7	2	5	9	620	637	−17
16	Sichuan	7	2	5	9	564	669	−105
17	Nanjing Tongxi	7	2	5	9	612	681	−69
18	Tianjin	7	2	5	9	649	665	−16
19	Jiangsu Dragons	7	1	6	8	557	602	−45
20	Ningbo Rockets	7	0	7	7	545	666	−121

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Liaoning host Xinjiang in the CBA on Sunday, October 25, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.