Leuven Bears vs Leiden prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 75%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 151 Margin LEU by 3 Win LEU 59% Actual 131 · LEU won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Leuven Bears vs Leiden
Last 29 and 28 games with full stats · all competitions
Leuven Bears at home, last 20 games · Leiden away, last 20
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Leuven Bears 1, Leiden 1.
- Average total 162.5 points per meeting
- Over 153.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting LEU by 17 Feb 14, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 14, 2026 BNXT League Leuven Bears 90–73 Leiden 163 pts
- Dec 20, 2025 BNXT League Leiden 90–72 Leuven Bears 162 pts
Last five games
- Oct 17: Leuven Bears 72, Kortrijk 69. Won. Odds: Leuven Bears 1.90, Kortrijk 1.57.
- Oct 6: Donar Groningen 81, Leuven Bears 78. Lost. Odds: Donar Groningen 1.72, Leuven Bears 1.95.
- Oct 3: Leuven Bears 69, Spirou Charleroi 65. Won. Odds: Leuven Bears 1.79, Spirou Charleroi 1.97.
- May 9: BAL Weert 65, Leuven Bears 77. Won. No odds on record.
- May 6: Leuven Bears 69, Zwolle 61. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 17: Leiden 92, Okapi Aalst 77. Won. Odds: Leiden 2.52, Okapi Aalst 1.31.
- Oct 10: Leiden 61, Brussels Basketball 77. Lost. Odds: Leiden 2.53, Brussels Basketball 1.48.
- Oct 2: Rotterdam 71, Leiden 76. Won. Odds: Rotterdam 2.40, Leiden 1.48.
- Jun 10: Zwolle 90, Leiden 74. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 7: Leiden 61, Zwolle 75. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Leiden dropped from 2.71 to 1.96 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 6.1 — Leuven Bears +1.6 per 100 possessions, Leiden −4.5.
- 4-1 in the last five for Leuven Bears.
- 8th vs 11th in the BNXT League standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LEU moneyline | 1.36 | moved up 1.74 |
| LEI moneyline | 2.71 | moved down 1.96 |
| Total points | 153.5 | 153.5 |
| LEU spread | −5.5 | −5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
BNXT League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 535 | 410 | +125 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | — | — | 0 | |
| 2 | Brussels Basketball | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 407 | 341 | +66 |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 463 | 417 | +46 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 385 | 365 | +20 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 399 | 328 | +71 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 456 | 433 | +23 | |
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 399 | 402 | −3 | |
| 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 340 | 345 | −5 | |
| 9 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 352 | 374 | −22 | |
| 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 415 | 441 | −26 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 376 | 388 | −12 | |
| 12 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 445 | 476 | −31 | |
| 13 | Rotterdam | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 381 | 404 | −23 |
| 14 | 5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 405 | 431 | −26 | |
| 15 | 5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 377 | 462 | −85 | |
| 16 | 5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 326 | 444 | −118 |
Pct percentage of games won. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Leuven Bears host Leiden in the BNXT League on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.