Leszno vs Polonia Warszawa Prediction & Odds

1 Liga Saturday, October 10, 2026Sat, Oct 10 Start14:00ET Round 4

LesznoHome · 7-0 · 1st · 1.31

9929193417

Polonia WarszawaAway · 5-2 · 5th · 3.05

7718212117

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Leszno 29 19 34 17

Polonia Warszawa 18 21 21 17

FT Hala Sportowa Trapez · PolandHala Sportowa Trapez · Round 4

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 1.31 86%

Leszno to win edge −5.5%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 1.31 Leszno to win Confidence86% model 66.2% · market 71.7% edge −5.5%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 65%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.31 66.2% 71.7% −5.5% 86% Won

Total points U166.5 1.95 54.4% 49.3% +5.1% 53% Lost

Point spread LES -5.5 1.71 53.5% 51.0% +2.5% 55% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Leszno9986

Polonia Warszawa7779

Total 165 actual 176

Winning margin LES by 7 actual LES by 22

Chance to win LES 66% LES won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Leszno9986

Polonia Warszawa7779

Total 165 Margin LES by 7 Win LES 66% Actual 176 · LES won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 19+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Leszno large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Polonia Warszawa

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Leszno vs Polonia Warszawa

Leszno Polonia Warszawa

Last 6 games each with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Leszno 4-1

Oct 3: R. Rzeszow 72, Leszno 98. Won. Odds: R. Rzeszow 3.30, Leszno 1.27.
Sep 30: Leszno 91, Pelplin 74. Won. Odds: Leszno 1.22, Pelplin 3.70.
Sep 26: Leszno 80, WKK Wroclaw 71. Won. Odds: Leszno 1.06, WKK Wroclaw 6.60.
Apr 15: LKS Lodz 93, Leszno 79. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 11: Leszno 90, Kotwica Kolobrzeg 88. Won. No odds on record.

Polonia Warszawa 3-2

Oct 4: Polonia Warszawa 90, Inowroclaw 87. Won. Odds: Polonia Warszawa 1.67, Inowroclaw 2.02.
Sep 26: Kotwica Kolobrzeg 98, Polonia Warszawa 100. After overtime. Won. Odds: Kotwica Kolobrzeg 1.53, Polonia Warszawa 2.30.
Sep 21: Polonia Warszawa 95, Lancut 93. Won. Odds: Polonia Warszawa 1.60, Lancut 2.15.
Apr 15: Kotwica Kolobrzeg 74, Polonia Warszawa 72. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 11: Polonia Warszawa 71, Spojnia Stargard 89. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
LES moneyline	1.34	moved down 1.31
POL moneyline	2.90	moved up 3.05
Total points	166.5	moved up 167.5
LES spread	−5.5	moved down −6.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

1 Liga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Leszno	7	7	0	14	636	514	+122
2	Spojnia Stargard	7	6	1	13	649	600	+49
3	LKS Lodz	7	5	2	12	616	548	+68
4	Poznan	7	5	2	12	639	597	+42
5	Polonia Warszawa	7	5	2	12	634	639	−5
6	WKK Wroclaw	7	4	3	11	582	569	+13
7	Inowroclaw	7	4	3	11	558	551	+7
8	Pelplin	7	4	3	11	636	642	−6
9	GKS Tychy	7	3	4	10	539	557	−18
10	Lancut	7	3	4	10	602	593	+9
11	Kotwica Kolobrzeg	7	3	4	10	629	639	−10
12	Bytom	7	2	5	9	570	603	−33
13	Krosno	7	2	5	9	597	610	−13
14	R. Rzeszow	7	1	6	8	537	623	−86
15	Starogard Gdanski	7	1	6	8	591	642	−51
16	Poli. Opolska	7	1	6	8	571	659	−88

Playoffs
Relegation

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Leszno host Polonia Warszawa in the 1 Liga on Saturday, October 10, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.