Leszno vs Pelplin Prediction & Odds

1 Liga Wednesday, September 30, 2026Wed, Sep 30 Start13:00ET Round 1

LesznoHome · 7-0 · 1st · 1.22

9128231921

PelplinAway · 4-3 · 8th · 3.70

7421191519

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Leszno 28 23 19 21

Pelplin 21 19 15 19

FT Hala Sportowa Trapez · PolandHala Sportowa Trapez · Round 1

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Lost

2 3.55 53%

Pelplin to win edge +23.9%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Lost 2 3.55 Pelplin to win Confidence53% model 53.4% · market 29.5% edge +23.9%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 57%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 3.55 53.4% 29.5% +23.9% 53% Lost

Total points U164.5 1.80 51.0% 51.5% −0.5% 51% Lost

Point spread PEL +8.5 1.83 71.0% 50.0% +21.0% 67% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Leszno9179

Pelplin7486

Total 165 actual 165

Winning margin PEL by 7 actual LES by 17

Chance to win PEL 68% LES won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Leszno9179

Pelplin7486

Total 165 Margin PEL by 7 Win PEL 68% Actual 165 · LES won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 19+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Leszno large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Pelplin

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Leszno vs Pelplin

Leszno Pelplin

Last 6 games each with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Leszno 2-3

Sep 26: Leszno 80, WKK Wroclaw 71. Won. Odds: Leszno 1.06, WKK Wroclaw 6.60.
Apr 15: LKS Lodz 93, Leszno 79. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 11: Leszno 90, Kotwica Kolobrzeg 88. Won. No odds on record.
Apr 4: Spojnia Stargard 82, Leszno 75. Lost. No odds on record.
Mar 26: Leszno 75, Poli. Opolska 89. Lost. No odds on record.

Pelplin 3-2

Sep 27: Pelplin 89, Poli. Opolska 76. Won. Odds: Pelplin 1.34, Poli. Opolska 2.90.
Apr 29: Spojnia Stargard 93, Pelplin 78. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 26: Pelplin 83, Spojnia Stargard 76. Won. No odds on record.
Apr 25: Pelplin 68, Spojnia Stargard 92. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 19: Spojnia Stargard 84, Pelplin 87. Won. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
LES moneyline	1.28	moved down 1.22
PEL moneyline	3.25	moved up 3.70
Total points · regulation	164.5	moved down 163.5
LES spread · regulation	−8.5	−8.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

1 Liga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Leszno	7	7	0	14	636	514	+122
2	Spojnia Stargard	7	6	1	13	649	600	+49
3	LKS Lodz	7	5	2	12	616	548	+68
4	Poznan	7	5	2	12	639	597	+42
5	Polonia Warszawa	7	5	2	12	634	639	−5
6	WKK Wroclaw	7	4	3	11	582	569	+13
7	Inowroclaw	7	4	3	11	558	551	+7
8	Pelplin	7	4	3	11	636	642	−6
9	GKS Tychy	7	3	4	10	539	557	−18
10	Lancut	7	3	4	10	602	593	+9
11	Kotwica Kolobrzeg	7	3	4	10	629	639	−10
12	Bytom	7	2	5	9	570	603	−33
13	Krosno	7	2	5	9	597	610	−13
14	R. Rzeszow	7	1	6	8	537	623	−86
15	Starogard Gdanski	7	1	6	8	591	642	−51
16	Poli. Opolska	7	1	6	8	571	659	−88

Playoffs
Relegation

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Leszno host Pelplin in the 1 Liga on Wednesday, September 30, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.